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(This is all rendered via the *nbviewer* is is read-only. Editable notebooks + examples can be downloaded too by forking! )
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0.[**Prolouge.**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Prolouge/Prolouge.ipynb) Why we do it.
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*[**Prolouge.**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Prolouge/Prolouge.ipynb) Why we do it.
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1.[**Chapter 1: Introduction to Bayesian Methods**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter1_Introduction/Chapter1_Introduction.ipynb)
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*[**Chapter 1: Introduction to Bayesian Methods**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter1_Introduction/Chapter1_Introduction.ipynb)
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Introduction to the philosophy and practice of Bayesian methods and answering the question "What is probabilistic programming?" Examples include:
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- Inferring human behaviour changes from text message rates.
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2.[**Chapter 2: A little more on PyMC**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter2_MorePyMC/MorePyMC.ipynb)
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*[**Chapter 2: A little more on PyMC**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter2_MorePyMC/MorePyMC.ipynb)
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We explore modeling Bayesian problems using Python's PyMC library through examples. How do we create Bayesian models? Examples include:
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- Definitive linking between smoking and death.
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- Calculating probabilities of space-shuttle disasters.
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3.[**Chapter 3: Opening the Black Box of MCMC**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter3_MCMC/IntroMCMC.ipynb)
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*[**Chapter 3: Opening the Black Box of MCMC**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter3_MCMC/IntroMCMC.ipynb)
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We discuss how MCMC operates and diagnostic tools.
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4.[**Chapter 4: The Greatest Theorem Never Told**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter4_TheGreatestTheoremNeverTold/LawOfLargeNumbers.ipynb)
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*[**Chapter 4: The Greatest Theorem Never Told**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter4_TheGreatestTheoremNeverTold/LawOfLargeNumbers.ipynb)
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We explore an incredibly useful, and dangerous, theorem: The Law of Large Numbers. Examples include:
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- Exploring a Kaggle dataset and the pitfalls of naive analysis
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5.[**Chapter 5: Would you rather loss an arm or a leg?**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter5_/LossFunctions.ipynb)
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*[**Chapter 5: Would you rather loss an arm or a leg?**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter5_/LossFunctions.ipynb)
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The introduction of Loss functions and there (awesome) use in Bayesian methods. Examples include:
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-Example: Solving the Price is Right's Showdown
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-Example: Optimizing financial predictions
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-Example: Winning solution to the Kaggle Dark World's competition.
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- Solving the Price is Right's Showdown
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- Optimizing financial predictions
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- Winning solution to the Kaggle Dark World's competition.
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10\. Chapter 10: More PyMC Hackery
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* Chapter 10: More PyMC Hackery
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We explore the gritty details of PyMC through code and examples. Examples include:
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- Example: Analysis on real-time GitHub repo stars and forks.
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- Analysis on real-time GitHub repo stars and forks.
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