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Cam Davidson-Pilon
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Prologue/Prologue.ipynb

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"cell_type": "markdown",
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"metadata": {},
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"source": [
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"Probabilistic Programming and \n",
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"======\n",
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"Bayesian Methods for Hackers\n",
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"Probabilistic Programming \n",
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"========\n",
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"and Bayesian Methods for Hackers\n",
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"========\n",
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"## *Using Python and PyMC*\n",
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"\n",
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"* [**Chapter 4: The Greatest Theorem Never Told**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter4_TheGreatestTheoremNeverTold/LawOfLargeNumbers.ipynb)\n",
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" We explore an incredibly useful, and dangerous, theorem: The Law of Large Numbers. Examples include:\n",
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" - Exploring a Kaggle dataset and the pitfalls of naive analysis\n",
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" - How to sort Reddit comments from best to worst (not as easy as you think)\n",
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" \n",
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"* [**Chapter 5: Would you rather loss an arm or a leg?**](http://nbviewer.ipython.org/urls/raw.github.com/CamDavidsonPilon/Probabilistic-Programming-and-Bayesian-Methods-for-Hackers/master/Chapter5_LossFunctions/LossFunctions.ipynb)\n",
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" The introduction of Loss functions and there (awesome) use in Bayesian methods. Examples include:\n",
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" - Solving the Price is Right's Showdown\n",
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" - Optimizing financial predictions\n",
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" - Winning solution to the Kaggle Dark World's competition.\n",
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" \n",
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"* Chapter 10: More PyMC Hackery\n",
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" We explore the gritty details of PyMC through code and examples. Examples include:\n",
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"* **Chapter 6: Getting our *prior*-ities straight**\n",
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" Probably the most important chapter. We draw on expert opinions to answer questions like:\n",
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" \n",
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" - how do we pick priors? \n",
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" - what is the relationship between data sample size and prior?\n",
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" \n",
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" We explore useful tips to be objective in analysis, and common pitfalls of priors. \n",
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" \n",
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"* **Chapter X1: Bayesian Markov Models**\n",
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" \n",
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"* **Chapter X2: Bayesian methods in Machine Learning** \n",
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" We explore how to resolve the overfitting problem plus popular ML methods. Also included are probablistic explainations of Ridge Regression and LASSO Regression.\n",
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" - Bayesian spam filtering plus *how to defeat Bayesian spam filtering*\n",
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" - Tim Saliman's winning solution to Kaggle's *Don't Overfit* problem \n",
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" \n",
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"* **Chapter X3: More PyMC Hackery**\n",
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" We explore the gritty details of PyMC. Examples include:\n",
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" - Analysis on real-time GitHub repo stars and forks.\n",
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"\n",
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"* **Chapter X4: Troubleshooting and debugging**\n",
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"\n",
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" \n",
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"**More questions about PyMC?**\n",
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"Please post your modeling, convergence, or any other PyMC question on [cross-validated](http://stats.stackexchange.com/), the statistcs stack-exchange.\n",
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" \n",
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" \n",
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"Using the book\n",
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"-------\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"Thanks to all our contributing authors, including (in chronological order):\n",
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"\n",
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"- [Cameron Davidson-Pilon](http://www.camdp.com)\n",
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"- [Stef Gibson](http://stefgibson.com)\n",
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"- [Vincent Ohprecio](http://bigsnarf.wordpress.com/)\n",
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"- [Lars Buitinck](https://github.com/larsman)\n",
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"- [Paul Magwene](http://github.com/pmagwene) \n",
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"- [Matthias Bussonnier](https://github.com/Carreau)\n",
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"- [Jens Rantil](https://github.com/JensRantil)\n",
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"- [y-p](https://github.com/y-p)\n",
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"- [Ethan Brown](http://www.etano.net/)\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"We would like to thank the Python community for building an amazing architecture. We would like to thank the \n",
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"Contact the main author, Cam Davidson-Pilon at [email protected] or [@cmrndp](https://twitter.com/cmrn_dp)\n",
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"\n",
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"\n",
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"![Imgur](http://i.imgur.com/Zb79QZb.png)"
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"![Imgur](http://i.imgur.com/Zb79QZb.png)\n"
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]
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{

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