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Forecasting Stock Prices
of Mutual Funds

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In this paper, I chose 4 mutual fund stocks to estimate models and forecast. 
-    From Fidelity:
o    Fidelity Advisor Materials Fund Class A/ FMFAX (FIMA): The fund invests primarily in common stocks. It invests at least 80% of assets in securities of companies principally engaged in the manufacture, mining, processing, or distribution of raw materials and intermediate goods. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers.
o    Fidelity Select Transportation Portfolio/FSRFX (FITRA): The fund primarily invests in common stocks. It normally invests at least 80% of assets in securities of companies principally engaged in providing transportation services or companies principally involved in the design, manufacture, distribution, or sale of transportation equipment. The fund invests in domestic and foreign issuers.
-    From Rydex
o    Rydex Basic Materials Fund Class A/RYBMX (RYMA): The fund invests substantially all (at least 80%) of its net assets in equity securities of Basic Materials Companies that are traded in the United States and in derivatives. It may invest significantly in the securities of Basic Materials Companies with small to mid-sized capitalizations. Basic Materials Companies are engaged in the manufacture, mining, processing, or distribution of raw materials and intermediate goods used in the industrials sector, and may be involved in the production and transportation of metals, textiles, and wood products.
o    Rydex Transportation Fund Class Investor/RYPIX (RYTRA): Under normal circumstances, the fund invests all (at least 80%) of its net assets substantially in equity securities of Transportation Companies that are traded in the United States and in derivatives, which primarily consist of futures contracts and options on securities, futures contracts, and stock indices. It may invest significantly in the securities of Transportation Companies with small to mid-sized capitalizations. The fund also may purchase American Depositary Receipts ("ADRs") to gain exposure to foreign Transportation Companies and U.S. government securities.

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