So you want to be a truck driver.
Truck drivers are in demand where I live, more so for long distance truck drivers. Also soon, truck drivers are going to get paid more. Changed regulations should see Australian truck driver wages jump by 25% while wages of most other people will only increase by about 5%. Wow, make me a truck driver. I don’t think so and I’m licensed to drive big trucks.
Instead, soon, many fewer truck drivers are going to be needed when their work disappears because of robotrucks.
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The timeline for robotrucks is short and so, during 2027, robotrucks should start to rapidly increase in large numbers on roads everywhere.
The reasoning for this is simple. Robotaxis are already a reality and in China robotaxis should start to become profitable next year. Perhaps too in the USA, but with 2026 more likely. Once robotaxis are profitable, robotrucks profitability will follow quickly within about 12 months because the essentials of robotaxis and robotrucks are the same but with trucking companies having to quickly change to robotrucks or go broke.
Expect most of the change to robotrucks to happen in 2027, 2028 and 2029 so that by 2030 nearly all trucks should be robotrucks.
The long-term lookout for truck drivers is bleak even if the change to robotrucks takes place a little later than just described here.
