Everything Will Change
In my field, many people are wondering what the future of the software development will be — arguing about whether AI will replace engineers and to what extent.
But why just “software development”? People should really think of the endgame. Everything will change.
I mean, what business, science, art, and even politics are all essentially? Just a clever optimization process against the real world. Throw ideas/hypotheses on the wall and see what sticks.
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Computers are very good at optimization! No reason to believe it won’t all be solved in N years, with like 100x more efficient compute and a couple more cool math tricks.
Give future “GPT-10” interfaces for interacting with the real world, and it could do everything — no human supervision/”prompting” needed at all. Humans would only be an unneeded bottleneck in that optimization process.
There will be big companies consisting only of their founder and no one else. And I am not sure there will be many such companies (so like “everyone could have one”) — no, it is more likely that due to economies of scale, there will be only a few megacorps, owning all the compute.
What we should worry about is how to avoid the extreme wealth disparity/centralization that seems imminent in that future…
