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        <title><![CDATA[Stories by TED Talks on Medium]]></title>
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            <title><![CDATA[What Are the Chances of Finding Love?]]></title>
            <link>https://medium.com/galleys/what-are-the-chances-of-finding-love-5cd5f5451f8d?source=rss-628458d920a9------2</link>
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            <dc:creator><![CDATA[TED Talks]]></dc:creator>
            <pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2015 18:50:57 GMT</pubDate>
            <atom:updated>2015-04-28T22:15:07.089Z</atom:updated>
            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4>An excerpt by Hannah Fry</h4><p><strong><em>Love, as with most of life, is full of patterns — from the number of sexual partners we have in our lifetime to how we choose who to message on a dating website. As mathematician Hannah Fry aptly and amusingly demonstrates in her new TED Book, </em>The Mathematics of Love<em>, math is a surprisingly useful tool for negotiating the complicated, often baffling, sometimes infuriating, always interesting patterns of love. Be warned: while reading this, you might just fall in love…with math.</em></strong></p><p>For those of us who have been single for any length of time, finding someone special can sometimes feel like an insurmountable challenge. A few years of dating a succession of boring Bernards and psycho Suzys can leave us frustrated, disappointed, and feeling like the odds are stacked against us. And some people will tell you that your feelings aren’t necessarily unfounded. In fact, in 2010, mathematician and long-standing singleton Peter Backus even calculated that there were more intelligent alien civilizations in the galaxy than potential girlfriends for him to date.</p><p>But things might not be as hopeless as they initially appear. There are 7 billion people on Earth after all, and while not all of them will be to our particular taste, this chapter explains how we can use Backus’ method to calculate your chances of bagging yourself a partner — and specifically, why being a bit more open to potential will give you a better chance of finding love on your own planet.</p><p>In Backus’ paper (titled “Why I Don’t Have a Girlfriend”), he adapts a formula used by scientists to consider why Earth hasn’t yet been visited by aliens to instead work out how many women would meet his criteria for a girlfriend.</p><p>The formula exploited a trick well known to scientists of breaking down the estimation by making lots of little educated guesses rather than one big one. The result of this trick is an estimate likely to be surprisingly close to the true answer, because the errors in each calculation tend to balance each other out along the way. Depending on the values chosen at each of the steps (and there is some debate over the final few), scientists currently think there are around 10,000 intelligent extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. This is not science fiction: scientists really have convinced themselves that there is life out there.</p><p>Of course, just as it’s not possible to calculate precisely how many alien life-forms there are, it’s also not possible to calculate exactly how many potential partners you may have. But all the same, being able to estimate quantities that you have no hope of verifying is an important skill for any scientist.</p><p>This technique applies perfectly to Peter Backus’ quest to see if there are intelligent, socially advanced women of the same species out there for him to date. And the idea is the same: break the problem into smaller and smaller pieces until it’s possible to make an educated guess. These were Backus’ criteria:</p><ol><li>How many women are there who live near me?<br>(<strong>In London -&gt; 4 million women)</strong></li><li>How many are likely to be of the right age range?<br><strong>(20% -&gt; 800,000 women)</strong></li><li>How many are likely to be single?<br><strong>(50% -&gt; 400,000 women)</strong></li><li>How many are likely to have a university degree?<br><strong>(26% -&gt; 104,000 women)</strong></li><li>How many are likely to be attractive?<br><strong>(5% -&gt; 5,200 women)</strong></li><li>How many are likely to find me attractive?<br><strong>(5% -&gt; 260 women)</strong></li><li>How many am I likely to get along well with?<br><strong>(10% -&gt; 26 women)</strong></li></ol><p>Leaving him with just twenty-six women in the whole world he would be willing to date.</p><p>Just to put that into perspective, that means there are around four hundred times more intelligent civilizations living on other planets than potential partners for Peter Backus.</p><p>Personally, I think that Backus is being a little picky. In effect, he’s suggesting that he only gets on with one in every ten women he meets, and that he only finds one in twenty attractive enough to go out with. This means he’ll have to meet up to 200 women to find one that fits just these two criteria. And that’s not even taking into account whether she likes him.</p><p>I think there’s room to be a bit more generous. Maybe the numbers should go a little more like this:</p><p>How many people of the right gender are there who live near me?<strong><br>(In London -&gt; 4 million)</strong></p><p>How many are likely to be of the right age range?<br><strong>(20% -&gt; 800,000 women)</strong></p><p>How many are likely to be single?<br><strong>(50% -&gt; 400,000 women)</strong></p><p>How many are likely to have a university degree?<br><strong>(26% -&gt; 104,000 women)</strong></p><p>How many are likely to be attractive?<br><strong>(20% -&gt; 20,800 women)</strong></p><p>How many are likely to find me attractive?<br><strong>(20% -&gt; 4,160 women)</strong></p><p>How many am I likely to get along well with?<br><strong>(20% -&gt; 832 women)</strong></p><p>Almost a thousand potential partners across a city, then. Seems much more like it, in my book.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*eRKq3DjZp3RSm-TpgrujGA.jpeg" /></figure><p>But there is another issue.</p><p>If Backus could relax some of his criteria just a bit, he’d have a much bigger pool of potential partners to work with. In fact, he could instantly quadruple his chances if he were a little less fussy about his future love holding a university degree. And the pool of ladies would be much, much larger if he were willing to expand his search to outside of London.</p><p>Strangely though, opening our minds to all potential partners seems to be the opposite of what we do when we’re single. I recently heard of a gentleman with an even clearer idea of what he was looking for in a potential partner. This man had set up a profile on the dating website OkCupid, which offers a profile section where you can outline certain “deal-breakers”: things that you can’t tolerate under any circumstances. His list ran to over a hundred, and was so extreme that it became the subject of a popular article on the website BuzzFeed. Under the heading “Do Not Message Me If” were the following gems.</p><p>1. You needlessly kill spiders</p><p>2. You have tattoos you can’t see without a mirror</p><p>3. You discuss Facebook in the visceral world</p><p>4. You consider yourself a happy person</p><p>5. You think world peace is actually a goal of some sort</p><p>As reasonable as it is to limit your search to a spider-loving, ink-free peace hater, unfortunately, the more deal-breakers you have the less likely you are to find love.</p><p>Because when you feed a mammoth list like this one into Backus’ equation — or even my version — unfortunately, you’ll get an answer close to zero potential partners. Of course, we all have must-haves and no-nos when it comes to love. But an extensive list like this does raise an interesting question. Just how much do our preemptive dating criteria actually harm our chances of finding love?</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*9DomGFK5q3bI63yHaDSNng.jpeg" /></figure><p>The reality is that when people are single and looking for a prospective partner, they often add in all sorts of must-haves or must-not-haves that dramatically reduce their chances. I have a very close friend who ended a potentially fruitful courtship simply because the gentleman wore black shoes with blue jeans to a date. I have another chum who insists that he cannot date a woman who uses exclamation marks! (That one is for him.) And how many friends do we all know who will not consider someone unless they are driven enough, or gorgeous enough, or rich enough?</p><p>Being good on paper doesn’t mean anything in the long run. There’s no point in restricting your search to people who match everything on your checklist, because you’re just setting yourself an impossible challenge. Instead, pick a couple of things that are really important and then give people a chance. You might just be pleasantly surprised. Let’s be honest, we probably all know people who’ve ended up with someone they never thought they’d be with, even if that person were the last life-form on the planet. After all, in the words of Auntie Mame, “Life’s a banquet, and most poor suckers are starving to death!”</p><p>Just ask Peter Backus. He beat his own odds; he got married last year.</p><p><em>Excerpted from Hannah Fry’s TED Book, The Mathematics of Love, which also offers witty and useful analyses of other pressing romantic questions like: How do you choose a wingman? When should you settle down? How should you plan the seating at your wedding? And, of course, how to live happily ever after.</em></p><p><em>Hannah’s TED Book, </em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Mathematics-Love-Patterns-Ultimate-Equation/dp/1476784884/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1423604813&amp;sr=1-1&amp;keywords=the+mathematics+of+love">The Mathematics of Love</a><em>, is available now at booksellers worldwide. Watch her </em><a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/hannah_fry_the_mathematics_of_love"><em>TED Talk</em></a><em> on TED.com.</em></p><p><a href="http://www.christineroesch.de/"><em>Illustrations by Christine Rösch</em></a></p><img src="https://medium.com/_/stat?event=post.clientViewed&referrerSource=full_rss&postId=5cd5f5451f8d" width="1" height="1" alt=""><hr><p><a href="https://medium.com/galleys/what-are-the-chances-of-finding-love-5cd5f5451f8d">What Are the Chances of Finding Love?</a> was originally published in <a href="https://medium.com/galleys">Galleys</a> on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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            <title><![CDATA[Let’s Go Nowhere]]></title>
            <link>https://medium.com/galleys/lets-go-nowhere-757ce7418496?source=rss-628458d920a9------2</link>
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            <dc:creator><![CDATA[TED Talks]]></dc:creator>
            <pubDate>Thu, 06 Nov 2014 15:36:10 GMT</pubDate>
            <atom:updated>2015-04-28T22:39:42.599Z</atom:updated>
            <content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4>By Pico Iyer</h4><p><strong><em>A remarkable fact: the same people who invent your technology are the ones at the forefront of unplugging. The urgent call to bring some stillness into our hectic lives is definitely growing louder, but the idea is not a new one. As Pico Iyer relays in his new TED Book, </em>The Art of Stillness<em>, this is an old wisdom that has never been more relevant. Iyer explores how many disparate people — from Emily Dickinson to Gandhi — have found stillness is far from dull but rather the greatest adventure.</em></strong></p><p>The idea of going nowhere is as universal as the law of gravity; that’s why wise souls from every tradition have spoken of it. “All the unhappiness of men,” the seventeenth-century French mathematician and philosopher Blaise Pascal famously noted, “arises from one simple fact: that they cannot sit quietly in their chamber.” After Admiral Richard E. Byrd spent nearly five months alone in a shack in the Antarctic, in temperatures that sank to 70 degrees below zero, he emerged convinced that “Half the confusion in the world comes from not knowing how little we need.” Or, as they sometimes say around Kyoto, “Don’t just do something. Sit there.”</p><p>Yet the days of Pascal and even Admiral Byrd seem positively tranquil by today’s standards. The amount of data humanity will collect while you’re reading <a href="http://www.amazon.com/The-Art-Stillness-Adventures-Nowhere/dp/1476784728/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1415121026&amp;sr=8-1&amp;keywords=pico+iyer">The Art of Stillness</a> is five times greater than the amount that exists in the entire Library of Congress. Anyone reading it will take in as much information today as Shakespeare took in over a lifetime. Researchers in the new field of interruption science have found that it takes an average of twenty-five minutes to recover from a phone call. Yet such interruptions come every eleven minutes — which means we’re never caught up with our lives.</p><p>And the more facts come streaming in on us, the less time we have to process any one of them. The one thing technology doesn’t provide us with is a sense of how to make the best use of technology. Put another way, the ability to gather information, which used to be so crucial, is now far less important than the ability to sift through it.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*sx4WfSZ5FDlcF_O0IblwFg.jpeg" /></figure><p>It’s easy to feel as if we’re standing two inches away from a huge canvas that’s noisy and crowded and changing with every microsecond. It’s only by stepping farther back and standing still that we can begin to see what that canvas (which is our life) really means, and to take in the larger picture.</p><p>One day I visited Google’s headquarters to give a talk on the Dalai Lama book I’d completed and, like most visitors, was much impressed by the trampolines, the indoor tree houses, and the workers at the time enjoying a fifth of their working hours free, letting their minds wander off leash to where inspiration might be hiding. As I travel the world, one of the greatest surprises I have encountered has been that the people who seem wisest about the necessity of placing limits on the newest technologies are, often, precisely the ones who helped develop those technologies, which have bulldozed over so many of the limits of old. The very people, in short, who have worked to speed up the world are the same ones most sensitive to the virtue of slowing down.</p><p>But what impressed me even more were the two people who greeted me as I waited for my digital ID: the Chief Evangelist for Google+, as his business card would have it, a bright-eyed, visibly spirited young soul from India who was setting up a “Yogler” program whereby the many Googlers who practice yoga could actually be trained to teach it; and the seasoned software engineer beside him who ran a celebrated and popular seven-week program called “Search Inside Yourself,” whose curriculum had shown more than a thousand Googlers the quantifiable, scientific evidence that meditation could lead not just to clearer thinking and better health but to emotional intelligence.</p><p>A self-selecting pair, no doubt; these were the kind of guys who wanted to hear about the Dalai Lama. Every company has its own chief evangelists, eager to share their illuminations. But I was struck by how often Gopi, the founder of the Yogler program, spoke of how easy it was, day or night, to go into a conference room and close his eyes. It sounded a bit like Dickinson again:</p><blockquote><em>The Outer — from the Inner Derives its Magnitude — ’Tis Duke, or Dwarf, according As is the Central Mood.</em></blockquote><p>Many in Silicon Valley observe an “Internet Sabbath” every week, during which they turn off most of their devices from, say, Friday night to Monday morning, if only to regather the sense of proportion and direction they’ll need for when they go back online. I was reminded of this by Kevin Kelly (TED Talk: <a href="http://www.ted.com/talks/kevin_kelly_on_how_technology_evolves?language=en">How technology evolves</a>). Kelly, one of the most passionate spokesmen for new technologies (and the founding executive editor of Wired magazine), had written his latest book about how technology can “expand our individual potential” while living without a smartphone, a laptop, or a TV in his home. Kevin still takes off on months-long trips through Asian villages without a computer, so as to be rooted in the nonvirtual world. “I continue to keep the cornucopia of technology at arm’s length,” he writes, “so that I can more easily remember who I am.”</p><p>There is now a meditation room in every building on the General Mills campus in Minneapolis, and Congressman Tim Ryan leads his colleagues in the House of Representatives in sessions of sitting still, reminding them that, if nothing else, it’s been found by scientists that meditation can lower blood pressure, help boost our immune system, and even change the architecture of our brains. This has no more to do with religion or any other kind of doctrine than a trip to the (mental) health club might.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*H9uO_1f61akI5wpLMX9yTw.jpeg" /></figure><p>Indeed, fully a third of American companies now have “stress-reduction programs,” and the number is increasing by the day — in part because workers find unclogging their minds’ arteries to be so exhilarating. More than 30 percent of those enrolled in such a program at Aetna, the giant heath-care company, saw their levels of stress dropping by a third after only an hour of yoga each week. The computer chip maker Intel experimented with a “Quiet Period” of four hours every Tuesday, during which three hundred engineers and managers were asked to turn off their e-mail and phones and put up “Do Not Disturb” signs on their office doors in order to make space for “thinking time.” The response proved so enthusiastic that the company inaugurated an eight-week program to encourage clearer thinking. At General Mills, 80 percent of senior executives reported a positive change in their ability to make decisions, and 89 percent said that they had become better listeners, after a similar seven-week program. Such developments are saving American corporations three hundred billion dollars a year; more important, they’re a form of preemptive medicine at a time when the World Health Organization has been widely quoted as stating that “stress will be the health epidemic of the twenty-first century.”</p><p>It can be strange to see mind training — going nowhere, in effect — being brought to such forward-pushing worlds; the businesses that view retreats as the best way to advance may simply be deploying new and imaginative means to the same unelevated ends. To me, the point of sitting still is that it helps you see through the very idea of pushing forward; indeed, it strips you of yourself, as of a coat of armor, by leading you into a place where you’re defined by something larger. If it does have benefits, they lie within some invisible account with a high interest rate but very long-term yields, to be drawn upon at that moment, surely inevitable, when a doctor walks into your room, shaking his head, or another car veers in front of yours, and all you have to draw upon is what you’ve collected in your deeper moments. But there’s no questioning the need for clarity and focus, especially when the stakes are highest.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*2IyY6xwvRxgRSaiQsErSDQ.jpeg" /></figure><p>The need for an empty space, a pause, is something we have all felt in our bones; it’s the rest in a piece of music that gives it resonance and shape. That’s the reason American football players prefer to go into a huddle rather than just race toward the line of scrimmage, the reason a certain kind of writer will include a lot of blank space on a page, so his sentences have room to breathe (and his readers, too). The one word for which the adjective “holy” is used in the Ten Commandments is Sabbath.</p><p>In the book of Numbers, God actually condemns to death a man found collecting wood on the Sabbath. The book on the Sabbath is the longest one in the Torah, as Judith Shulevitz explains in her fine work, <a href="http://www.amazon.com/The-Sabbath-World-Glimpses-Different/dp/0812971736/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1415064250&amp;sr=8-1&amp;keywords=The+Sabbath+World">The Sabbath World</a>. Another part of the Torah, dealing with the Sabbath’s boundaries, takes up 105 pages more.</p><p>Keeping the Sabbath — doing nothing for a while — is one of the hardest things in life for me; I’d much rather give up meat or wine or sex than the ability to check my emails or get on with my work when I want to. If I don’t answer my messages today, I tell myself, there will only be more to answer tomorrow (though, in truth, refraining from sending messages will likely diminish the number I receive); if I take time off, I somehow believe, I’ll be that much more hurried the rest of the time.</p><p>Whenever I finally force myself away from my desk for a day, of course, I find the opposite: the more time I spend away from my work, the better that work will be, most often.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*r_J2_E3oV0hpTkN-r6nBjQ.jpeg" /></figure><p>One day Mahatma Gandhi was said to have woken up and told those around him, “This is going to be a very busy day. I won’t be able to meditate for an hour.” His friends were taken aback at this rare break from his discipline. “I’ll have to meditate for two,” he spelled out.</p><p>I mentioned this once on a radio program and a woman called in, understandably impatient. “It’s all very well for a male travel writer in Santa Barbara to talk about taking time off,” she said. “But what about me? I’m a mother trying to start a small business, and I don’t have the luxury of meditating for two hours a day.” Yet it’s precisely those who are busiest, I wanted to tell her, who most need to give themselves a break. Stress is contagious, studies have found. If only the poor, overburdened mother could ask her husband — or her mother or a friend — to look after her kids for thirty minutes a day, I’m sure she’d have much more freshness and delight to share with her children when she came back, and with her business.</p><p>Some people, if they can afford it, try to acquire a place in the country or a second home; I’ve always thought it easier to make a second house in the week — especially if, like most of us, you lack the funds for expensive real estate. These days, in the age of movement and connection, space, as Marx had it in another context, has been annihilated by time; we feel as though we can make contact with almost anywhere at any moment. But as fast as geography is coming under our control, the clock is exerting more and more tyranny over us. And the more we can contact others, the more, it sometimes seems, we lose contact with ourselves. When I left New York City for the backstreets of Japan, I figured I’d be growing poorer in terms of money, amusements, social life, and obvious prospects, but I’d be richer in what I prize most: days and hours.</p><figure><img alt="" src="https://cdn-images-1.medium.com/max/1024/1*wfRGtCzVIkGMJZa6QPqSiw.jpeg" /></figure><p>This is what the principle of the Sabbath enshrines. It is, as Abraham Joshua Heschel, the great Jewish theologian of the last century, had it, “a cathedral in time rather than in space”; the one day a week we take off becomes a vast empty space through which we can wander, without agenda, as through the light-filled passageways of Notre Dame. Of course, for a religious person, it’s also very much about community and ritual and refreshing one’s relationship with God and ages past. But even for the rest of us, it’s like a retreat house that ensures we’ll have something bright and purposeful to carry back into the other six days.</p><p>The Sabbath recalls to us that, in the end, all our journeys have to bring us home. And we do not have to travel far to get away from our less considered habits. The places that move us most deeply are often the ones we recognize like long-lost friends; we come to them with a piercing sense of familiarity, as if returning to some source we already know. “Some keep the Sabbath going to Church — ” Emily Dickinson wrote. “I keep it, staying at Home.”</p><p><em>Pico Iyer’s TED Book, </em><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Art-Stillness-Adventures-Going-Nowhere/dp/1476784728/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1415125615&amp;sr=1-1&amp;keywords=pico+iyer">The Art of Stillness: Adventures in Going Nowhere</a><em>, is available now at booksellers worldwide. For more ideas worth spreading, every weekday, visit </em><a href="http://ideas.ted.com/"><em>ideas.ted.com</em></a><em>.</em></p><p><a href="http://www.studio80s.com/#/index"><em>Photos by Eydís Einarsdóttir.</em></a></p><img src="https://medium.com/_/stat?event=post.clientViewed&referrerSource=full_rss&postId=757ce7418496" width="1" height="1" alt=""><hr><p><a href="https://medium.com/galleys/lets-go-nowhere-757ce7418496">Let’s Go Nowhere</a> was originally published in <a href="https://medium.com/galleys">Galleys</a> on Medium, where people are continuing the conversation by highlighting and responding to this story.</p>]]></content:encoded>
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