Texas Tech vs Mississippi Predictions

Republished from SportsJaw.com

3 min readDec 27, 2022

Texas Tech is on the road playing Mississippi at the NRG Stadium stadium on Wednesday, 12/28/2022 @ 9:00pm EST. Mississippi -3.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn’t moved.

Texas Tech Highlights

This season, Texas Tech is 7–5. The Red Raiders played the Oklahoma Sooners in their last matchup and won 51–48. Tyler Shough finished 31/50 with 436 yards passing and two touchdowns. The quarterback finished with a QB rating of 144.4 and had one pick at the end of the game. In addition to 22 carries for 86 yards (3.9 yards per carry), SaRodorick Thompson was the Red Raider’s leading rusher with 96 plays resulting in 599 yards. A total of 45 carries resulted in 163 yards for the Texas Tech Red Raiders, an average of 3.6 yards per carry. In terms of defending the run, the Red Raiders conceded 210 yards on 45 tries, which is an average of 4.7 yards per rush surrendered. In 42 attempts, Texas Tech completed 29 passes for 462 yards, and a 69.0% completion rate.

A Texas Tech Red Raider’s average points per game is 33.6 points. A total of 5,514 yards have been gained by the Red Raiders this year. A total of 25 passing touchdowns and 25 rushing touchdowns have been scored by Texas Tech this season. They have accumulated 318 1st downs as a team, and have been flagged for 71 penalties for 562 yards. 23 times, they have turned the ball over.

With a power ranking of 63, Texas Tech is ranked #32 in offense (scoring an average of 33.58 per game), #98 in defense (allowing an average of 29.50 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7–5 (7–5 ATS) this season.

Mississippi Highlights

As of now, the Ole Miss Rebels rank 8th in the nation with an average of 491.3 yards per outing. With 740 yards in penalties on 82 violations, the Ole Miss offense is 32nd in college football when it comes to making mistakes. As a result of this campaign, the Rebels have thrown for 2,756 yards via the pass, ranking 66th in college football, while also averaging 229.7 yards per outing. Averaging 34.2 points per game, the Rebels rank 28th in the nation in terms of points scored.

Over the course of the campaign, Ole Miss has allowed 1,942 yards on the ground (161.8 yards per contest) and 16 touchdowns through the rush. Their defense has been on the field for 859 plays, placing the Rebels 93rd in the nation. They have allowed 22 touchdowns and 218.0 yards/game, ranking them 57th in the nation. They have conceded 24.2 points per game, placing them 51st in the nation. They have given out 290 points.

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Mississippi Rebels has a power ranking of 42 and are #28 for offense (scoring an average of 34.17 per game), #50 for defense (giving up an average of 29.50 points per game) and 8–4 (4–7–1 ATS) overall. Texas Tech went 2–1 (2–1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Mississippi.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be TXTECH 39, O-MISS 32.
58% of SportsJaw players predict Mississippi Rebels to cover.
OddsShark’s prediction is Mississippi will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.
63% picked Mississippi Rebels on Covers.com
SportsJaw’s ScoreCaster prediction: Red Raiders 23 to Rebels 44.

Staff Prediction

I would be going to a Bookie right now and doing an alt line. Ole Miss should destroy this Red Raiders team. QB trouble and little defense, there is little reason to believe they can hang with the explosive and balanced Ole Miss offense. Ole Miss runs the score up in this one.