Rashmee Roshan Lall·Feb 9All bets are on…war, famine, sportsA Dostoevsky novel takes a modern view. And another risk-taker calculates the odds
InThis Week, Those BooksbyThis Week, Those Books·Feb 9All bets are on…war, famine, sportsA Dostoevsky novel takes a modern view. And another risk-taker calculates the odds
Thinker at the Gates·Dec 5, 2025Actually, Nate Silver Should Take the “L”, Since His Strategy Was the One That Literally LostThe person that loses should generally take the “L”, except in Silver’s intellectually contorted world
Marc Smith·Jan 16, 2025Actionable Takeaways from On the Edge by Nate SilverExploring how we make risk-based decisions and measure Expected Value in everything from world politics to personal finance — using a…
InThe HavenbyRoss Rosenfeld·Dec 6, 2024Nate Silver is Talking Out His Ass(My model predicts with 99.9% accuracy.)
InThe Intelligent Sports Wagerer.byJohn V. Culver·Nov 23, 2024Upon the Shoulders of Elo GiantsNFL ‘24 Week 12 Elo Ratings & Betting Preview
Yogesh Upadhyaya·Nov 10, 2024Donald Trump has taught us something about prediction modelsI get irritated by complex models that claim to predict outcomes in one off events. Recent elections in the US illustrate my point.A response icon1A response icon1
InthehighhorsebyDaire O'Criodain·Oct 29, 2024“One no Trump” is the hand I want!On 8 November 2016, polling day in that year’s US presidential election, the election forecasting website, 538[i], reckoned Hillary…
Orrin Onken·Oct 1, 2024A Meandering Review of Nate Silver’s “On the Edge”A view from the apex of the bell curveA response icon7A response icon7
