Baozilla, Let's go!·Oct 8The Day Three Fired OpenAI Researchers Wrote to the Board (And the FTC Prepared to Ask the Labs for…For more than eleven weeks, this series has tracked a pattern in which the most important facts about frontier-AI incidents reached the…
InInsiderFinance WirebySteeve Towa·Jul 6I’m Building the Risk Model Goldman Sachs Wishes It Had, but For FreeWhy the scariest number in finance isn’t the loss you can see, it’s the one your model assumes can’t happen
Christos Kechagias·Jun 23What most financial planners and planning tools get wrong about riskSome risks announce themselves. Tail risk doesn’t. It’s rare enough to hide, to get ignored, to raise no immediate concern and yet it shows…
InCoinShares Research BlogbyJames Butterfill·Jan 16Tail Risks for 2026: Where Bitcoin Sells Off, and Where It RepricesBitcoin increasingly trades as part of the global macro complex rather than as a self-contained niche asset. In stress, the dominant…
Osric Langevin·Dec 8, 2025The Danger of Consensus: Quantifying the 15% Tail Risk in Central Bank WeekIntroduction:
Scott Podvin·Nov 21, 2025💀 Tail Risk & Drawdown Mastery: The Final 5 Metrics for $500M-Level Portfolio Management 🏆“In theory, there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice, there is.” — Yogi Berra;
Vishal Lakshmi Narayanan·Nov 12, 2025Tail Risk: “Why Average-Based Models Miss Catastrophic Losses”The Invisible Catastrophe Inside “Accurate” Models
Navnoor Bawa·Nov 4, 2025Susquehanna’s Black Monday Trade: Exploiting Black-Scholes Model Risk in the 1987 CrashSusquehanna International Group generated millions from long OTM puts during the October 19, 1987 crash — a 22.6% single-day decline — by…
O·Oct 29, 2025On evading atrocities — decisions at different levelsIt is not a one-size-fits-all approach that would suit decision-making every time and everywhere. Depending on the level we are at, the…
Elliot·Oct 10, 2025Avoiding RuinThis article is going to be a bit off brand compared to what my blog usually contains. Themes previously explored related to writing secure…
