Nikos Kafritsas·1h agoCan Foundation Models Beat a Tuned LightGBM on Electricity Prices?I gave Kumo, Nori, Chronos-2 and TimesFM-3 a week of German day-ahead prices, with no training. One day decided the winner
MLGuy·15h agoHow much should we order? Build a forecast you can defend.Forecast Coach turns a spreadsheet and a conversation into a forecast you can test, challenge, and use to optimize your business, just as…
MLGuy·16h agoYour planners want AI forecasting. Here is what IT is approving.How Forecast Coach connects a chat assistant to real forecasting models, why the service stores nothing, and how to run it privately in…
NTTP·1d agoThe opposite of a Black Swan: a Golden Goose?We can model it!A response icon1A response icon1
Nazmul Hasan·3d agoZero-Shot Chronos-2 and TimesFM Beat AutoARIMA and ETS on Data They Never Saw1,305 post-release forecast windows on a laptop CPU: 13–16% less error than the best classical baseline hourly and daily, about 5% monthly.A response icon1A response icon1
NTTP·5d agoMag7 stocks: Estimated chance of crash by end of yearA little bit of Monte Carlo modeling for allA response icon1A response icon1
Trade Mamba·Nov 2Can Fancy Sequential Models Beat an MLP — and Can an MLP Beat CatBoost in Time Series Forecasting?Comparing MLPs, recurrent networks, Transformers, and CatBoost across six forecasting datasets.
George Oluoch·Nov 2From Bike Rides to Better Forecasts: Building an End-to-End ML ProjectWhat does it take to turn hourly bike data into a forecast people can explore? I built a one-hour-ahead demand forecasting project — and…
SalesPoet·Nov 1Next Quarter: A Sales Story — Chapter 5Saturday morning, but Dev was committed to his decision. He woke at 6am to his alarm which he nearly snoozed. He saw the gym bag by the…
InData Science CollectivebySophia Chen, PhD·Oct 31Building a Forecasting Agent Platform, Part 3: Turning Agentic Workflows into MCP Tools and SkillsRunning Annual Forecasting and Planning in Claude CodeA response icon1A response icon1
