This is my — getting off my arse because it matters, writing.

I Predict a Win for Trump

And a further degradation of democratic principles. And that both frightens and annoys me

Is this how the world now perceives the USA? Photo by Will Myers on Unsplash

Trump will hold the House and the Senate — that is my prediction. And never before have I hoped to be so wrong.

If he does, I believe he will try to run for a third term as President. Either as VP with a puppet, through a family member, or by disregarding the rules, as he has done throughout his presidency.

I doubt he will succeed in getting a third term. Fortunately, one thing about the so-called USA democracy is that most research** says it is no longer a real democracy, but it has been taught to honour the Founding Fathers and the Constitution. However, the fallout from defeating Trump’s intentions to run again will be cataclysmic, not unlike a second civil war.

• Check out the V-Dem Institute’s 2026 report on democracy. It makes sad, sad reading. I follow a few research-reporting organisations; this, for me, is probably the best of them. I always look at who funds the research institutes — because, like the media, funding and ownership determine the direction. I don’t see any gremlins here.
• As of 2025, the world has 92…