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Soccer Best Bets: Champions League & Premier League Insights
SportsGrid
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10 months ago
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00:00
Welcome back to Newswire here on Sports Grid with the football season complete.
00:04
It's time to get into some football with a U. Kyle Bond joins us now.
00:07
It's been a while since we checked in with Kyle on the soccer pitch.
00:10
We're going to go over some results in the Champions League, get some previews from the
00:13
upcoming weekend in the Premier League as well. Kyle, great to have you back on Newswire,
00:16
man. Thanks for coming on. Yeah, great to be back on.
00:20
Thanks, guys. I appreciate it. It was a little hurt, a little hurt, but you know what?
00:23
We're back. We're here. That's okay. Bygones are bygones.
00:27
I mean, it's football. You know, football season is tough, man.
00:29
And we got March Madness straight ahead. But speaking of madness,
00:32
let's go over some of the Champions League results from Tuesday and Wednesday.
00:35
And Kyle, let's start off with Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid. Really,
00:39
really good matchup here. What do you make of sort of the way that this is going down?
00:44
Yeah, one of the one of the best matchups of the round of 16.
00:47
I was actually really surprised at how clean the first leg was.
00:51
These teams hate each other and it sparks a lot of fury
00:55
and frustration on the pitch often. I was on the over for yellow cards in that first leg
01:00
and they had won. So I'm a bit surprised at how subdued that first leg was both,
01:06
you know, from a disciplinary standpoint and from a chances standpoint.
01:11
Real Madrid won that game 2-1, but there weren't a ton of chances.
01:15
That's kind of how Atletico Madrid like it is to keep a lid on the game both home and away.
01:21
But this is still very much in the balance.
01:23
Atletico Madrid are a much better team at home than they are on the road.
01:28
Not as much this year,
01:29
but if you go over the course of Diego Simeone's managerial tenure at Atletico Madrid,
01:35
they have always played much better at home.
01:37
So getting the second leg at home,
01:39
I still like Atletico Madrid's chances to get through this one,
01:43
especially where the odds are. They are heavy underdogs,
01:47
especially given that Real Madrid won the first leg.
01:50
You can get some really good value on Atletico Madrid getting a surprise here
01:55
because Real Madrid are a flawed team this season.
01:57
They always seem to have that European magic,
01:59
but they're a flawed team this year and I really think Atletico Madrid have a chance.
02:04
All right. So PSG-Liverpool,
02:06
let's break this one down. Sort of a stunning result here as PSG. Seems like on paper,
02:11
they should have been the winner of this one. How did Liverpool pull it out?
02:16
Liverpool's luck this year is off the charts.
02:20
Don't get me wrong. They're one of the best teams in Europe,
02:23
if not the best team in Europe right now.
02:25
But the breaks that have gone their way this season are incredible.
02:31
They got outshot in this game 27-2
02:36
and PSG could not put the ball in the back of the net.
02:38
You have to give a lot of credit to Alisson, Liverpool's goalkeeper,
02:41
who made nine incredible saves. He was outstanding.
02:44
He called it the best performance of his career,
02:46
but PSG just blew it here
02:49
and I just can't see them winning at Anfield
02:53
and reversing this tie, reversing this scoreline.
02:57
I think they've blown their opportunity.
03:00
They dominated those 90 minutes
03:02
and then got starstruck at the end by a cheap counter-attack goal.
03:08
It never should have gone this way. PSG are a very good team.
03:11
Ousmane Dembele is maybe top three for the Ballon d'Or this year.
03:15
I don't think many people realize that,
03:17
but they've blown their chance. I think Liverpool will go through here.
03:21
All right, so Liverpool will take them on and see how far they can go.
03:24
By the way, they've been fantastic. If you take a look at all of their wins,
03:28
I mean 4-0, 2-0, 2-0 against Man City, 2-0 again,
03:33
and then that 1-0 against PSG.
03:36
And when you look at this matchup coming up on Tuesday,
03:39
as you mentioned, is there any position to take here
03:42
because it basically is even money to take Liverpool to win?
03:45
Yeah, I was wanting to be on the under in the first leg
03:51
and I couldn't do it. I couldn't pull the trigger
03:54
and I wish I had because I think you go under again here on the goals total.
03:59
I think Liverpool are just so good defensively.
04:02
Obviously, you've got the performance that Alassane put in in the first leg.
04:06
They got battered in that first leg and didn't concede.
04:09
I find it hard to see how they don't keep a lid on this game in the second leg as well
04:16
and just sort of see it out. I think PSG will throw all they've got at it,
04:19
but we've seen earlier this year that PSG don't finish well.
04:23
They were in trouble in the first half of the Champions League league phase
04:27
down at the bottom of the table because they couldn't finish chances.
04:30
They were one of the best attacking teams in the league phase
04:32
and through the first half, they just really struggled to put the ball in the net.
04:35
So I think Liverpool just lean on their defensive prowess here
04:39
and maybe you get like a 1-1 draw,
04:42
but there's a number of ways that this can go under that two and a half goal total
04:46
and you'll probably get a pretty good number on it.
04:49
All right, fair enough. Let's have it over to the Premier League
04:51
and you know, certainly Liverpool's had their way this season,
04:54
but one of the big matchups coming up is on Sunday between Manchester United and Arsenal.
05:00
Do you have any position in this upcoming matchup?
05:04
Yeah, I also like the under here.
05:07
I've been playing unders a little bit this season
05:09
because a lot of the totals have been inflated just because,
05:16
you know, attacking football is what everybody loves to see.
05:19
Everybody wants to play overs and the number of goals
05:22
and games overall has been increasing.
05:26
But if you can get a couple of big-name teams playing each other at a high total,
05:33
you can play the unders and I think this is a good spot for it.
05:37
You know, Manchester United just don't have a very good attack.
05:39
Arsenal put seven past PSG midweek in the Champions League on like one and a half XG
05:46
because the PSV goalkeeper had a nightmare.
05:48
So I think that can inflate the market a little bit
05:52
and Arsenal don't have a striker.
05:54
So I think you play the under in two teams that struggle to put the ball in the net.
06:01
All right, and then one more matchup here this weekend.
06:03
Tottenham is playing and I know you have a position on that matchup as well.
06:08
Yeah, this is one you can just whatever the number is go over
06:12
because these are two teams that like to play chaos ball.
06:15
They like to muck it up.
06:16
Tottenham have a couple of players just coming back from injury along the back in defense,
06:21
but Bournemouth can cause problems for just about anybody in the Premier League
06:26
and I think you get goals.
06:29
All right. Finally, I want to get here to the World Cup
06:31
because it's coming fast here, Kyle, in 2026.
06:33
I know Club World Cup is coming this summer, which should be a lot of fun.
06:37
I want to show people the odds here because again,
06:40
I think that this is going to be something that's very interesting to watch,
06:43
especially considering Messi could be involved in this as well.
06:46
So Man City is plus 390 and Real Madrid is plus 450.
06:50
So are those fair to be the favorites there?
06:54
You know, I've never shied away from taking a favorite, Craig.
06:57
I think especially in futures, there's nothing wrong with it.
06:59
Man City, I would stay miles away from Man City here.
07:03
They've had a nightmare of a season.
07:05
They're in total flux.
07:07
I just don't think that they would be a team to pick here.
07:10
They may bring some youth players as well.
07:12
So I think Real Madrid could be a good play,
07:14
but you could get some value down there below the top two.
07:18
All right. Thanks, Kyle, for coming on.
07:19
We'll follow you over at Sporting News.
07:22
Thanks again.
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