00:00How about this game? Cal taking on Virginia Tech. It's still weird trying to say this is an ACC matchup, but it is.
00:05This line, Joe, look ahead. Minus three and a half. I'm seeing five and a half now as a favorite towards Virginia Tech.
00:11And a total of under 50. Now seeing it over 50 here. The spread line for California and Virginia Tech is what, Joe?
00:18Donnie, we started on Monday. I said we got to keep an eye on this game because something doesn't smell right here.
00:24I mean, Cal, first of all, the teams have complete opposite records, right?
00:28Cal is five and two. Virginia Tech is two and five. Virginia Tech opened up as a two and a half, three point favorite at home at Blacksburg on a Friday night, which we know Sandman and the whole thing.
00:41It's pretty crazy, right? But as of yesterday, Donnie, I watched this thing get steamed up to minus six in a bunch of spots.
00:48And I'm baffled. I mean, you're giving almost a touchdown with a Virginia Tech team that just fired their coach a month ago.
00:56They're sitting at two and five. And oh, yeah, Justin Wilcox, the Cal coach.
01:01This guy isn't just good, Donnie. He has been an absolute ATM machine in this price range as a dog.
01:07Twenty nine and 16 against the spread as an underdog.
01:11He has covered this number 65 percent of the time since he's at Cal in this spot as a dog.
01:17It's one of the more reliable trends. It's a moneymaker.
01:20You want to give me nearly a touchdown with a two and five team with a with an interim coach?
01:26Yeah, no, I'm good. I'll take Cal in this one.
01:29State schools on a Saturday afternoon in October.
01:33Who says no? Not these two guys here.
01:34San Diego State and Fresno State opening line roughly one and a half year listed for San Diego State.
01:40Most outlets now actually showing San Diego State as a field goal favorite and a total which opened up around 48 and a half.
01:45Still sitting in that range at forty seven and a half. San Diego State, Fresno State, the spread line here, Joe Ranieri.
01:51What is it? Another one of these games, Donnie, where you scratch your head because you have San Diego State has now put itself in a position for the Mountain West title game.
02:00Right. But it's won its last four games and pretty convincingly both straight up and against the number.
02:05And now you have a struggling Fresno State team that has lost three games in a row against the number and comes off a brutal loss to Colorado State, who just fired their coach, 49 to 21.
02:17So to me, it feels a little light here, doesn't it?
02:21I mean, San Diego State is a slim three point favorite on the road against the team that can't seem to figure it out.
02:28It's a clear pros versus Joe spot here.
02:31The pros are on Fresno State, who happens to be nine and oh against the number as a home underdog in Mountain West play here.
02:38But there is a there's been a line drawn in the sand.
02:41The public loves San Diego State, but this line will not be getting any higher than what it is right now.
02:47Sometimes we sit in bizarro world right in college football.
02:50It's like, now, wait a second. Vanderbilt is actually favored to beat LSU.
02:52Like what time machine do I need to get into here to change this up?
02:56Vanderbilt goes out and beats LSU.
02:57Oklahoma State used to run the Big 12, and I don't mean you're going to win the conference every year, but one of the heavyweights here that's usually doing the damage and the big beatdowns.
03:06Take a look at this.
03:07Oklahoma State goes on the road to take on Texas Tech.
03:10That line sits today minus 37 and a half with a total of 56 and a half.
03:17It's almost unbelievable to read that.
03:19Oklahoma State one and six fires their head coach.
03:2240 point favorite for Texas Tech, Joe.
03:25What's the spread line here?
03:26Think about it, Donnie.
03:2840 point favorite, and you said that total was 56 and a half.
03:31Are you kidding me here?
03:33Now, the funny thing, the thing that caught my attention is anybody that follows Texas Tech football knows that 56 and a half in Lubbock is one of the lower totals I can remember, Donnie.
03:45These totals at Lubbock are always in the 60s or better.
03:50In fact, when I looked it up, in the last 24 home games, Texas Tech has only had a lower total once, Donnie, and it was 56 versus Baylor in what turned out to be, you ready for this, a 59 to 35 game.
04:04So, we are talking about an unprecedented low total in Lubbock, Texas against an in-conference rival here, right?
04:12You're talking about Oklahoma State.
04:14My goodness, what a drop for the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
04:19But it still feels too low to me.
04:22Why?
04:22Because Texas Tech coming off the loss to Arizona State, they'll probably have Moten back.
04:28I mean, forget about Oklahoma State adding anything more than maybe 17, 18 points a game, which is what they're doing right now.
04:36This is all about Texas Tech letting out some frustration.
04:40It would not shock me if Texas Tech hits the total itself as a score.
04:46They're going to drop 50, 60 points on Oklahoma State this weekend.
04:50By the way, there's something to watch as well in this game.
04:52Not actually the point spread, but are there going to be some tortillas thrown onto the field this year?
04:57Because understand this, there's heavy fines coming, revoking of season tickets and ejection from the stadium.
05:02Let's see how that one actually plays out.
05:04We love ourselves some college football here, Joe.
05:06The AP Top 25 continues to churn here.
05:09We're getting closer and closer to a college football playoff.
05:13And one of those big-time games this weekend, Joe, Ole Miss and Oklahoma.
05:17And look at that.
05:18Ole Miss and Oklahoma, Top 25 right here, matchup.
05:21And you say, ooh, they stumbled a little bit there for Ole Miss.
05:24Can they get back?
05:24Oklahoma gets their quarterback.
05:26Can they surge?
05:26Number eight versus number 13, Joe.
05:29Line's on the move, too.
05:30Look ahead, line for Oklahoma.
05:31Minus three and a half.
05:32No longer the case.
05:33You see that graphic.
05:34It's minus five and a half now with a total of 54 and a half points here.
05:38Mateer back.
05:39Ole Miss stunned last week.
05:40Who's going to win this game?
05:42SEC pride on the line.
05:44Been a lot of OU money in the marketplace here, Donnie, for this game here.
05:49And listen, Mateer hasn't exactly looked great since he's come back from the injury there.
05:56But the one thing that we know for sure is that they could not stop Georgia in any way,
06:01shape, or form.
06:03I mean, that defense was absolutely horrific there.
06:07Now, is this the same offense OU has that they just failed?
06:11No, it's not.
06:13But it's the defense of OU that is going to be the key to this game.
06:17Can Ole Miss, with Chambliss, can they figure out how to do what no other team has been able
06:24to do?
06:25And that is, you know, decipher and beat this defense of OU because it is one of the best
06:30units in the country, Donnie.
06:31It's a big ask, and I get why the money is coming in on OU.
06:36Top 10, Vandy.
06:38People, hold on to your hat.
06:39They're also a favorite once again this weekend against Mizzou.
06:42Take a look at this.
06:43Opening line around that 3.5 price point.
06:44We're now seeing that dip below 3 to 2.5 at most outlets.
06:47And a total of 51.5 to 52.5 at this point.
06:52Vandy no longer trying to chase down and say, you know what?
06:55We're going to hunt you down.
06:56People now got the target on Vandy.
06:58Top 10, Vandy in the SEC.
07:00I'm rooting for him, Joe.
07:01It's a minus 2.5.
07:02They pull off this victory again?
07:06This is a tough one, Donnie, here, because I love what Missouri has been doing, too, as
07:10well.
07:11And this is going to be interesting.
07:13I mean, it really is because we've got two teams here that are looking to make their way
07:18into the postseason here.
07:20But, wow, this is the reason that it's a field goal game is because I think it's going
07:25to come to exactly that, Donnie.
07:27It's going to come down to a field goal.
07:29And Missouri, I mean, they're 1-18 straight up in the last 19 games versus top 10 SEC teams
07:37here at ranked SEC teams.
07:39They've not exactly done well in this spot in years past.
07:43But to me, it's a coin flip game, Donnie.
07:46I don't see an edge one way or the other outside of Vandy and Pavia now.
07:51They win this game.
07:52And that kid is going to be a Heisman favorite before long.
07:56I can tell you that.
07:58How about this?
07:58Talking about field goal games.
08:00How about LSU at home is an underdog in the SEC.
08:03That's a rarity because Texas A&M unbeaten and coming to town at minus two and a half.
08:07Why are you guys talking about SEC games?
08:09Because the SEC is where good football lives.
08:12The question is, how much longer is Brian Kelly going to live at LSU?
08:15Yeah, I mean, well, listen, this is a big ass for Texas A&M, right?
08:19We're going to learn a little something about this Texas A&M team.
08:22But I also think that totals a little light, Donnie.
08:26It feels to me like we could be getting some points in this game.
08:30I like the over here.
08:32I think that number is a little light with these two teams.
08:35Ah, impressive stuff, man.
08:36SEC.
08:37And by the way, the SEC, I retweeted something this morning about the ratings for 5 million
08:42people watching a game.
08:43The SEC is absolutely dominant.
08:45Maybe their best brand of football is this year.
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