- 2 months ago
Forbes Senior Editor Alan Ohnsman joins Forbes Talks to discuss the controversy surrounding Elon Musk’s unprecedented, trillion-dollar Tesla pay package. Ohnsman dives into the colossal scope of executive compensation that critics call unmitigated and problematic, the necessity of founder control as Musk argues for a 25% ownership stake to assure his vision, and the company’s strategic shift from a vehicle maker to a future-focused AI and robotics business.
Read the full story on Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2025/10/02/teslas-sales-surge-is-a-sugar-high-powered-by-less-musk-and-trumps-ev-tax-credit-cut/
00:00 The Controversial Trillion-Dollar Pay Package Unveiled
01:45 Tesla's Justification for Keeping an "Absolutely Essential" Elon Musk
04:22 The Board’s Explicit Plea and Elon Musk's Final Onslaught
05:45 The Board's Double-Edged Sword and Concerns Over Unchecked Power
08:01 Why Institutional Investors and Advisory Firms Oppose the Package
11:13 The Reality Versus the Promise of Robotaxis and Humanoid Robots
17:35 Musk Lashes Out At Opposing Advisory Firms
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Read the full story on Forbes: https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2025/10/02/teslas-sales-surge-is-a-sugar-high-powered-by-less-musk-and-trumps-ev-tax-credit-cut/
00:00 The Controversial Trillion-Dollar Pay Package Unveiled
01:45 Tesla's Justification for Keeping an "Absolutely Essential" Elon Musk
04:22 The Board’s Explicit Plea and Elon Musk's Final Onslaught
05:45 The Board's Double-Edged Sword and Concerns Over Unchecked Power
08:01 Why Institutional Investors and Advisory Firms Oppose the Package
11:13 The Reality Versus the Promise of Robotaxis and Humanoid Robots
17:35 Musk Lashes Out At Opposing Advisory Firms
Subscribe to FORBES: https://www.youtube.com/user/Forbes?sub_confirmation=1
Fuel your success with Forbes. Gain unlimited access to premium journalism, including breaking news, groundbreaking in-depth reported stories, daily digests and more. Plus, members get a front-row seat at members-only events with leading thinkers and doers, access to premium video that can help you get ahead, an ad-light experience, early access to select products including NFT drops and more:
https://account.forbes.com/membership/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=display&utm_campaign=growth_non-sub_paid_subscribe_ytdescript
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More From Forbes: http://forbes.com
Forbes covers the intersection of entrepreneurship, wealth, technology, business and lifestyle with a focus on people and success.
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PeopleTranscript
00:00Hi, everybody. I'm Brittany Lewis. I'm a reporter here at Forbes. Joining me now is my colleague
00:07Alan Onsman. He's a senior editor and author of The Current Climate Newsletter. Alan, thanks so
00:13much for joining me. Hi, Brittany. Good to be with you today. Elon Musk had some fiery words
00:18for two advisory firms who advised shareholders to vote no when it came to his trillion dollar
00:24pay package. And I want to talk about the details of this pay package first, because back in September,
00:30Tesla unveiled this new compensation package for Elon Musk. It could be worth around one trillion
00:35dollars as long as the company hits some lofty goals within the next 10 years. So start off the
00:41conversation, break down what exactly is in this pay package. Yeah, it's a 10 year comp package and it
00:48replaces one that's basically expired. He hit all the initial targets that were set several years ago.
00:54So this one will be running over the next decade. And it includes about 10 or 12 tranches, I guess,
01:01of accomplishments that he has to achieve over that year. It's like Tesla getting to $8.5 trillion
01:08market cap, a million robo taxis, a million humanoid robots, 20 million cumulative EVs, a whole series of
01:17things along those lines. And so each time he hits one of these targets in the package, he would receive
01:25a really significant amount of stock. And the goal over time is that Musk's stake in the company will
01:33rise by about 12 percent and get him well over 25 percent direct ownership stake and, you know,
01:39will keep him assured that he remains the single biggest shareholder. The trillion dollar pay package
01:47is eye popping. It's mind boggling. It was controversial. It's historic. It's unprecedented.
01:53I'm curious how Tesla exactly justifies this, because you reported earlier this year things are bad at
01:59Tesla. They're probably going to get worse. Tesla had a disappointing Q1 earnings report. The profits
02:06plummeted 70 percent. In April, the company posted its worst quarterly results in four years.
02:12Q3 was a mixed bag. How do they argue keeping Elon Musk at potentially this price? How are they arguing
02:18that that benefits the company? Well, honestly, at the time when the package was announced in an SEC
02:25filing, Robin Denham, who is the chair of Tesla's board and has been for several years now,
02:30said basically, you know, keeping Elon is absolutely essential to the company's future,
02:36that they, in her view and the view of the board, no one else can run Tesla and take it into this next
02:46phase like Elon. And as you say, the total package all in based on the value of the stock is a trillion
02:53or more over time, which is there is no precedent for that. I mean, Musk is already by far the wealthiest
03:00human being on the planet with, you know, net worth approaching half a trillion dollars currently.
03:07So, you know, this package would just be, you know, again, unprecedented, as you point out.
03:13And it's because of the things that Musk is talking about now for this next phase of Tesla.
03:20Tesla shifts from being a big electric vehicle maker into a leading AI company, into a robotaxi
03:28company, into a humanoid robotics company. And on the earnings call yesterday, those were mainly
03:36the topics he spoke about throughout most of the hour long earnings call, talking about those future
03:44things. He didn't really dwell on or get into the specifics of what went wrong or didn't work out as
03:51well in Q3, but rather keeping the focus on what's coming next. And that's really what Elon does for
03:59Tesla. It's convincing people that regardless of how astronomical the company's P.E. ratio is,
04:07that's, you know, a couple hundred times, I guess, price to earnings at this point, ignore that because
04:13the future is going to be bigger and bigger and bigger. And if you believe that, you know, according
04:18to the board, he's worth whatever, you know, they can carve out for him. But this is clearly
04:24controversial. As you point out, there are investor groups and investor advisory firms that are openly
04:32saying do not vote in favor of this. This is a very problematic package. And this is what happened
04:39on the call yesterday. Earnings went through the earnings. The CFO and Elon talked through everything.
04:45Some executives spoke. It seemed that it concluded. And then suddenly there was this final bit from the
04:51CFO who said, we have one more thing. And we do really want to encourage everyone to vote in favor
04:56of this compensation package because it's very important for the future of Tesla. And that's
05:03pretty much when when Elon just unloaded. And it was interesting tonally because throughout most of
05:11the call, he was on his best behavior. He was definitely trying not to be controversial,
05:18was not saying anything. You know, he's really been sort of wild. And some of the past calls have gone
05:25off the rails. So it was more buttoned down perhaps than it's been in a long time until this final
05:32piece. And then suddenly he he really kind of unloaded on, you know, the two different advisory
05:39firms that are arguing against the compensation package. I don't know about you, Alan, but if I had
05:47a one trillion dollar payday coming my way, I would tone it down as well. But it sounds like he couldn't
05:53help himself. It sounds like the CFO really teed him up there. And he, as you said, unloaded. But
05:59before we get into what exactly he said, you did mention that board members wrote a letter to
06:04shareholders saying essentially Elon Musk is the only person for this job. This is what they wrote
06:09at the time of the pay package. We believe Elon is the only person capable of leading Tesla at this
06:14critical inflection point. And it seems like it's really a double edged sword if you're Elon Musk,
06:19so to speak, because love it or hate it. He is the brand. Elon Musk and Tesla are interchangeable
06:26essentially. But what are the concerns here when it comes to this pay package and who is concerned?
06:32Well, obviously, that's just, you know, an astronomical amount of money to give anyone.
06:38First of all, I mean, just the value is it's really hard to justify. Is any human being worth,
06:44you know, a $1 trillion pay package? You know, clearly giving him that much ownership
06:51of the company in Tesla stock is problematic. You know, Elon said, you know, over 25% is not so high
07:00that I couldn't be removed if, you know, if I was found to be completely insane, which was sort of an
07:06interesting point for him to make since questions of his, you know, mental stability have come up from
07:13time to time. But the issue, I think, is there's some concern about the board doing this in a
07:19self-serving fashion, because if they're giving, you know, fabulous stock awards to Elon, in all
07:24likelihood, they're going to be giving themselves pretty substantial stock payments as well. And it's
07:30a it's a very friendly board. And this has been one of the problems. This is why there are still
07:35lawsuits over his past pay package that remain unresolved, that the board has enriched itself while
07:42enriching Elon, and that it does not do a good job in really trying to uphold its fiduciary
07:50responsibility for making decisions that are in the best interest of the company long term.
07:56Robin Denholm believes giving Elon a trillion dollars is in the best interest of the company.
08:01Many institutional investors and the shareholder advisory firms that were referenced yesterday
08:08do not think that this is in the best interest of the company. So it's going to be interesting.
08:12I mean, I would say historically, it's a given that this will be approved by shareholders. It seems
08:19whatever the board asks for, and says we need this, Tesla shareholders uniformly reliably do say,
08:28OK, fine, they'll vote in favor of it. This is the first time we're seeing more open pushback at this
08:34stage. There have been a number of institutional investors, a lot of state pensions, the American
08:41Federation of Teachers, other groups that are saying, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, whoa, this is not
08:46appropriate for anyone. And this is just too much. So it's going to be interesting to see how the vote
08:52comes out. This is coming up at the annual meeting in November. So less than a month from now, this is
08:59going to be voted on. And I would also say after, you know, 15 years of listening to Tesla earnings
09:04calls, I don't think this is I've ever heard anything like what came up yesterday, where the
09:09board made an explicit plea to shareholders to support this comp package. And then Elon going on
09:17a tear, attacking, you know, those that have been critical of the comp package. That was unusual.
09:24I don't think that's happened before. Just before I get to my next question, I mean,
09:29what was the end of that conversation like if the board is saying, hey, please, please give this guy
09:35a trillion dollar pay package. He's worth it. He just unleashes calls, advisory firms, terrorists,
09:42essentially. I mean, how did it wrap up? There was a very funny line that he mentioned because he'd
09:48been talking in the call previously about his humanoid robot push, Optimus, that's coming.
09:55And I guess these will be maybe factory workers or personal slaves. I mean, I'm not sure exactly
10:00what all the applications are going to be. But he said, you know, it's crazy to think that I'm going
10:06to build this robot army and then, you know, not be able to control it, which was sort of an odd,
10:11you know, way to frame this. I guess he seemed to be saying, you know, why should I do all of these
10:19things for Tesla's future with AI and robotics if you're not going to give me enough power to
10:26maintain reasonable control of the company? I mean, it was just an odd, unnecessary thing to say,
10:31but he was clearly very worked up. And a lot of the reporting has supported this. Since the pay
10:36package came out, there was this disclosure that there were, you know, tacit threats that he would
10:42leave, that if he does not get the compensation package, he'll move on. And I know this has
10:48been reported in multiple media outlets. And I think he's even alluded to as much on X in posts
10:54there that, you know, if he doesn't get it, that maybe he'll leave. You know, I know some people
11:03would say, okay, you know, maybe it's time for a change in leadership at Tesla. Clearly, the board
11:09does not agree with that. And they want to make sure that he doesn't go anywhere.
11:13To that point, the board wants to keep Elon Musk happy. It seems a trillion dollar pay package could
11:18certainly do that, even though he's already still well beyond the richest person in the world. But
11:25in our conversations throughout this year, when it comes to Elon Musk, time and time again,
11:30we've talked about how his chaotic personal political tweets, his life have been bad for
11:36the Tesla brand. Tesla's not doing very well. He's been an absentee CEO for parts of this year.
11:43And critics are concerned that the board does not check him. The board is not independent. I mean,
11:48what do you make of that? Well, I mean, there are two different worlds happening here. There's the
11:54world that Elon tells you is unfolding. And then there's the reality. So on the call yesterday,
12:00talking about Robotaxi, for example, they just recently rolled out an upgrade to
12:07their, you know, FSD
12:11software up to this version 14 that's supposed to be a big improvement. But then they've continued to say,
12:17oh, but by the way, we have additional updates coming. So it's this kind of waiting for Godot
12:22sort of thing where the perfect version never arrives. It's always in the next update.
12:27And, you know, the software has gotten better, but it's not Waymo caliber autonomy, for example. But he
12:34keeps pushing it. And there was no discussion on the call yesterday about the current NHTSA
12:40investigation of, you know, Robotex or excuse me, full self-driving accidents that have occurred.
12:46The company is under investigation right now. Not a single question arose yesterday from investors or
12:54analysts asking how the company, you know, is responding to that. It's conversations with
13:00NHTSA investigators, which seem like kind of an oversight. So if you're an investor, you should
13:04really know that, that the company's, you know, one of its big bets on the future is autonomous driving.
13:11And yet it continues to have problems with its system, regardless of what Elon says. The reality
13:18is, again, multiple fatalities, multiple accidents and a major federal investigation is going on right
13:23now. No discussion of that on the human robotics side. You know, they keep showing sort of, you know,
13:31they did something with the new Tron movie with with the Optimus robots at the world premiere of Tron.
13:37You know, it's kind of fun and it's like a special effective sort of thing. But it remains to be
13:43seen. There is a lot of excitement generally around the future of robotics and humanoid robotics.
13:48But there's a lot of unknowns. No one is actually making any money on this right now. And we don't
13:53know if it works, if the costs, you know, justify it. I mean, maybe Amazon will buy a lot and run at
13:59warehouses with with robotic workers. But, you know, again, it's a big unknown as to, you know, how that's going
14:05to play out. So a lot of the big bets like that are just their question marks at the time being.
14:12You believe them or you don't believe them at this point, whether Tesla can accomplish them.
14:17On the raw business side, as you pointed out, third quarter, they had a great number for vehicle
14:23sales. They had a huge surge in Q3. And that's entirely because of the expiration of federal tax
14:30credits. There was an enormous rush to buy to get the cheapest possible version of a Tesla before
14:36the credits went away. At the same time, profit margin just shrank dramatically. Huge drop in profit
14:44overall. So selling more cars and making less money from them is not a good thing. Regulatory credits are
14:50gone and those are phasing out. They reported yesterday about 400 and something million dollars
14:56in regulatory credit sales. But a lot of those were likely booked earlier in the year. That whole
15:01program is basically dying because the federal government is lowering fuel economy rules. So big
15:08automakers don't need the credits as much. And it's going to block California from being able to enforce
15:14its zero emission vehicle program because there are also companies in California to comply with California
15:20rules needed to buy the credits. So one of Tesla's business lines, which is by far,
15:26its most profitable business line, credit sales, because it's a 100% profit margin. You get credits,
15:32literally, it's money for nothing. That was down to 400 million dollars. It dropped by about 30 or 40%
15:38from year over year. But that's going to, they'll probably post some more in Q4, but then that's kind
15:44of it. So that business goes away. What that means is their automotive business suddenly becomes
15:49less profitable. There was one good bright spot in the numbers. And I think this is kind of important.
15:57Their energy storage business was up dramatically. So they generated about 3.5 billion dollars
16:05in selling battery storage systems. And this is largely for utilities as well as residential
16:10installations. So that's a very good business. You know, we've talked many times about this. I'm kind of a
16:16simpleton. So I like to look at the, you know, what are the businesses that actually make money,
16:20like today? And, you know, their auto business could be a lot stronger if it was a bit more focused.
16:28And their battery business is a very good business. And we just saw yesterday, or today rather,
16:35Tesla board member J.B. Straubel, who's a co-founder, raised 350 million dollars to expand
16:41battery business for his startup, Redwood Materials, which originally started out as a battery
16:45recycler. And then they started doing battery materials. And now they're actually also building
16:51and selling large scale battery systems for, you know, utilities, data centers, things like that.
16:58So that's a really good business. And clearly that was why they attracted a lot of investment for that.
17:04So, you know, when you look at some of the things Tesla's doing, Tesla could actually be doing a lot
17:10better if it focused a little more on these core businesses that you can definitely make money on.
17:16Charging services is a good business. Selling batteries is a good business. Selling electric
17:21cars is a good business. But, you know, it seems as if he's kind of gotten bored with those things.
17:27He wants sexier, more sci-fi things. So AI, robotics, robotaxi, that's really where he's
17:35interested. Regardless of how the business is doing, Elon Musk certainly thinks he's worth
17:39this one trillion dollar pay package. However, two advisory firms do not. And this is not the
17:45first time that they've had this recommendation. Back in 2024, they advised shareholders to vote
17:50against Musk's 56 billion dollar pay package. And one of them now said that this one trillion
17:55dollar pay package, they have unmitigated concerns about its magnitude and size.
18:00So bring us to the end of this call. Elon Musk let it rip on these two advisory firms,
18:06their recommendations. What exactly did he say? He described them as corporate terrorists,
18:12which is pretty interesting because Glass Lewis and institutional shareholders service are not the
18:19most exciting companies in the world. So to dub them corporate terrorists was certainly new and original.
18:27Clearly, he's angry. He's very angry that they are telling investors not to support this. I mean,
18:35to your point, yeah, they did also take a stand on the reinstitution of Elon's pay package last year.
18:41That was the 56 billion that had been taken away because of a legal case earlier. So it had to be
18:50voted on again. They advised shareholders not to go along with it, but shareholders did. And if I'm
18:58a betting man, I assume they'll approve this one as well. But I think it's a safe bet that this one,
19:03too, is going to end up in the courts, that there will be a fight over this for shareholder groups
19:08saying that this is ridiculous. But yeah, in the call yesterday, again, he really singled out
19:14these two advisory services. But then he also said, oh, no, no, it's not really a compensation
19:20package. We shouldn't even call it a compensation package. This is really about just having this 25%
19:28plus ownership stake in the company that's for the good of the company. So, you know, it's interesting to
19:34say, like, well, forget about the fact I'm getting a trillion dollars. That's that's not important.
19:37It's it's it's the fact that, you know, this is for the good of the company that that I have this
19:42level of control. So, you know, it that's an interesting argument. Exactly. Imagine calling 100
19:48or one trillion dollars coming your way a footnote. But I'm curious why they advised against voting for
19:54this package, because Tesla's performance has been described as negative and highly volatile.
20:00We talked about how they performed in Q1, Q2, Q3. I mean, nothing was really amazing for the company.
20:06As we said, Q3 was a mixed bag. But still, did that play a role in the pushback here?
20:13Yeah, to some extent. Right. The volatility of the company at this point and also just the the sheer
20:20amount, the value of it is just so off the charts that it's really hard in good conscience to to say,
20:29yeah, this this makes sense. I mean, it is a trillion dollars. No one's ever been worth a
20:34trillion dollars. There's no precedent for this. You know, John D. Rockefeller, the first billionaire,
20:40you know, over a century ago that that was unprecedented at the time. But this is this is a
20:46magnitude of order greater at this point. So, yeah, I think their concerns are the obvious ones that it
20:53just sets a very bad example. And also because if Tesla does it, then you you may see other companies
20:59just, you know, CEOs that are really pushing for ever greater enrichment. And that's already an issue
21:04with, you know, executive compensation is is one of those topics that never goes out of style.
21:08Like, are they overpaid or not? And already, you know, Elon's been very, very well compensated.
21:15You know, he doesn't draw a salary, but when he's paid in stock, it's it's it's a remarkable
21:21amount of money. And again, a trillion dollars. There's there's just no there's no precedent for
21:26that. Well, Alan, per usual, I appreciate your updates here, your reporting. Thanks so much for
21:32the conversation. Good to be with you.
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