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Diamond Sees M&A Taking Out 3,000 US Banks in 2-3 Years
Bloomberg
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2 months ago
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00:00
Today we have four and a half thousand banks. When you mention that to people that don't know,
00:04
they go four and a half thousand banks in the United States. That's the wrong number. Well,
00:08
it is the wrong number. And many of the smaller community banks are too small to succeed
00:13
to get their return on equities back above 10 percent up to up to something more credible for
00:19
their valuation and the ability to do in-state mergers. And with the support of the Treasury
00:26
in the SEC in terms of approvals of these in the OCC, we think that there's going to be
00:32
consolidation that takes that number of four and a half thousand to something closer to a thousand
00:36
or fifteen hundred literally over the next two to three years. Do you have sorry? No. Do you have
00:42
ideal tie ups? We have absolutely ideal tie ups. We're working on them right now and we can't say
00:47
a thing about them. Give me a flavor of what you know what you think will happen, if not what you're
00:53
looking at. So one of the best opportunities is for banks, say, in that 10 to 50 billion area,
00:59
higher regulatory capital hits in at 100 billion. Most of the banks want to either stay below that
01:06
or have a clear strategy approved by the regulators before they go over that.
01:11
But there's tremendous opportunities for banks in that 10 to 50 billion area to acquire, you know,
01:17
smaller community banks, typically more private, often in-state, where you think about the costs of
01:24
technology come right out because almost all of these banks are on the same technology platform.
01:30
The costs of regulatory relations. You've got duplicate departments that comes right out.
01:35
So what we're seeing, Francine, is a is a opportunity to get really, really good returns just from the cost
01:43
synergies to say nothing about the revenue synergies. And if you can do them in-state or close to state,
01:48
those revenue synergies come even more quickly.
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