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Cake day: March 23rd, 2022

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  • In actual fact it is notoriously difficult to disable railroad tracks for long periods of time. They are quite resilient to bombing and very easy, quick and cheap to fix. Both Russia and Ukraine have experienced this.

    Bridges are of course harder to fix but they are also not easy to destroy, as, again, both Russia and Ukraine found out. It takes either numerous repeated strikes or really large bombs/missiles, but as long as Iran continues to make their airspace too dangerous for the US/Israel to freely operate, they will have to use weaker and more expensive standoff munitions which they do not have unlimited quantities of.

    And of course, there is also the simple reality that if the US does go for extensive infrastructure strikes, Iran will retaliate in kind against the Gulf states and Israel, which is why the US has not gone there yet. Maybe they will, but then the closure of the strait of Hormuz will seem like a minor problem compared to the long term loss of productive capacity and logistics that Iran can inflict. At that point no one is getting any oil or gas out of the region anymore.


  • What is also happening is that Russia is making more money selling at a discount on the spot market, especially with the price increases happening now, than if they had long term fixed contracts. That’s what all of these morons here in Europe don’t understand either. When they tore up the very favorable contracts they had with Russia and went to buying Russian oil and gas at spot prices and through intermediaries like India, they just put more money in Russia’s pocket.


  • Not that i know of. I mean yeah that area used to be part of China up until the 19th century, but then again so was Mongolia. No, as far as i know China and Russia settled their border issues decades ago, after some unfortunate incidents involving border skirmishes (though not in the Far East but more in Central Asia iirc) during the Sino-Soviet split, and both have been pretty happy with the situation since then. It shows that countries don’t need to go to war and don’t need to have permanent tensions over border disputes if they just talk it out and reach a mutually acceptable compromise. India should take some inspiration from Russia in this regard and stop being so belligerent on their border issues with China.

    Here's a map of the Russian Far East:




  • You’d think so but actually no, they do share a border. You can take a direct train from Moscow all the way to Pyongyang without passing through China. The journey takes about 200 hours.

    At present, the longest non-stop train route in the world is between Moscow and Pyongyang, it covers 10267 km and takes eight days. Foreign tourists have to leave the train in Tumangang (North Korean border city).


  • Abbas Araghchi: “Why We Insist on Uranium Enrichment”

    “Why have we insisted, and continue to insist, on uranium enrichment? Why won’t we surrender it, even under the threat of war? Because no one has the right to dictate what we may or may not possess. This is rooted in a fundamental principle: the rejection of domination.

    Enrichment is our right under international law, and whether we choose to exercise it is our business alone. For years we’ve been told, ‘You have no right to enrich; enrichment must be zero.’ Why? ‘Because we’re concerned,’ they say. If you’re concerned, we’re prepared to address that. Have questions? We’ll answer them. Is trust lacking? We’ll build it. But no one has the right to say, ‘You cannot have this because we don’t want you to.’

    This is the heart of our resolve: we have stood firm in defense of our own rights. Enrichment matters, but what matters even more is demonstrating that the Islamic Republic of Iran takes orders from no one and submits to no domination.

    If there are doubts about the peaceful nature of Iran’s nuclear program, we are ready to answer them. The only path forward is diplomacy. Every other path has been tried and has led nowhere. Negotiations will only succeed when the rights of the Iranian people are recognized and respected, not granted, because our rights are already legitimate in and of themselves. What we ask is simply that they be respected.”

    In my view, Araghchi’s statement is more than a dignified reply to the United States. It is a rebuke of the condescending posture the West has held toward Muslims for nearly a century. It is a declaration that the era of bullying and imposed values is over. If Iran emerges from this with its honor intact, God willing, neither the United States nor the Muslim world will be what they once were.

    https://xcancel.com/FrameTheGlobe/status/2043432051106558319


  • Who says it hasn’t already started? World wars can start at different times in different regions. WWII is usually said to have started in 1939 but that’s just for western Europe. In the Pacific and for the Soviet Union it started in 1941. In China it started in 1936, or maybe even 1931 with the invasion of Manchuria by the Japanese. The start of the SMO in 2022 might come to be seen retrospectively as the beginning of this world war. With the subsequent later activation of fronts in Gaza, Lebanon and now Iran. Or maybe it started in 2014 in Crimea. Or 2011 in Libya and Syria. Ok those last two dates are maybe stretching it a little bit, but ultimately all these conflicts are connected by the fact that they are the result of the US acting aggressively in an attempt to preserve its declining hegemony.