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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: March 12th, 2025

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  • I agree, the most likely case here is that this is a disaster for the US, whether they have to make an unfavorable deal with Iran and walk away (the best case for the Americans at this point), or they end up with the casualties from boots on the ground.

    However the US gets to disaster, and what magnitude it is between the two extremes above, this is more likely one of a string of signs evident to future historians of eroding American control, ahead of the real Suez moment.














  • Ok, bump the cost of 20% of your oil supply by 100%, double the cost of 80% of the potash into your country. Decimate the US automotive supply chain and shut down plants in the US. Go for it! I kept thinking about Carney’s speech, was it a bit over the top (ie, is this really a rupture or just a 4 year blip), but it proves without a doubt that Carney was 100% correct. The response to this is not to cowtow down to Washington trying to find a way to talk them out of this. It’s to stand firm, prepare retaliation and support for industries/unemployed, and prep to make this transition for our economy once and for all. This needs to end now, we may as well pull the bandaid. It will be ugly but necessary.