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Cake day: June 21st, 2023

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  • I’m pretty sure the window is already closed. This is our second war with Iran in under a year. Both of which were started by the US/Israel; while we were actively negotiating with Iran. After the first war, we bragged about how the negotiation was a genius move by us to catch Iran with a surprise attack. The last time we had a major treaty with Iran, we unilaterally tore it up; and none of the other signatories stepped up to try and make Iran whole.

    The 12 day war ended when we decided to end it. Iran agreed because no one likes getting bombed, and they assumed we had done all we had the stomach to do. However, this type of stop-and-go conflict massively favors the US. Iran’s strength lies in a sustained war of attrition. Deplete our air defense systems faster than we can resupply them. Disrupt the oil market long enough to cause global shortages. Draw us into a war against an insurgency. None of this is effective if they let us decide when the conflict pauses.

    Their actions show this. Mining the straight of Hormuz and bombing oil fields are not the type of action you take for a conflict you don’t plan on lasting. Appoint the son of the leader we assisinated as your new leader. Those are decisions that will take months to reverse.

    Also, I should mention that the current leader of Iran just had his family killed by us. And Iran was just in the middle of an internal political crisis that conveniently goes away in the face of an external one.

    I don’t see how we get Iran to agree to end the war without us offering some major concessions.





  • homura1650@lemmy.worldtoMicroblog Memes@lemmy.worldRules
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    1 month ago

    We spent a solid week talking about fucking infixation in morphology class back in undergrad.

    I can assure you that the rule on the slide is absofuckinglutly wrong. English speakers are remarkably consistent about how they do fucking infixation. Somehow, they all understand prosodic feet better than a room full of linguistics majors that just spent a week learning about it.



  • European Jews make up the Israeli elite. There were Jews already living in the land that is now Israel, who were very much not part of any colonization movement, but we’re well integrated into the local economy. When the Europeans cames, there was a lot of aminus between them and the native Jews as well as the native Muslims.

    As the conflict developed and identities hardened, the native Jews became increasingly accepted within the Zionist camp, and less so within the Arab camps. Relatedly, this led to a bunch of Arab countries doing their own ethnic cleansing of Jews, who would then go to Israel. Again, these Jews were overwhelming native to where they were expelled from, not European.

    A massive amount of the original conflict started not as a racial dispute, but as a property dispute. Britain brought over its own notion of land ownership that did much match the local notion. The immigrant Jews bought land under the British system, which led to a bunch of dueling claims, both sides of which were legally valid.

    The amazing thing about reading the history on this, is that everyone knew this was going to happen. There were contemporary Zionists who warned about it. Contemporary Arabs warned about it. Even the fucking Nazis warned about it (which is why they were much more interested in forming a Jewish colony in Madagascar).

    At this point, I’m not convinced any of this history actually matters. We have Israellis and Palestinians now. Both of which are modern identities that were created as part of this conflict. And those are the identity groups that need to reconcile in order to solve it. The original land disputes are so far in the past that there is no way to unwind them. The new land disputes can still be unwound, but those are illegal under every system, including Israeli law (although, I’m not so sure about now, as they recently passed laws authorizing it, so the very new ones might be legal under Israeli law).