"With GEN-1, though, Generalist says its physical models have reached a GPT-3-style inflection point, where some tasks are starting to “cross the level of performance needed to be deployed in economically useful settings.”

I think humanoid robots are one of the sleeper tech trends most people are underestimating. They don’t need AGI, or even ‘perfect’ AI, to do most unskilled & semi-skilled work. With enough development & training, today’s AI models will probably be fine. Here’s another sign that this hypothesis might be true.

How soon will they get there? At current rates of development, 2030 seems a reasonable estimate for general-purpose humanoids easily trainable for most unskilled/semi-skilled work. Just when most driving jobs will be disappearing to robo-taxis. No one seems prepared for this future rapidly bearing down upon us.

From folding boxes to fixing vacuums, GEN-1 robotics model hits 99% reliability: New model can respond to disruptions and figure out moves it wasn’t trained for.