A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is of Iranians celebrating the beginning of the ceasefire under the framework of Iran’s 10 Points.


Mere hours before Trump’s 8pm Tuesday deadline yesterday, Pakistan’s government contacted Iran with a US-written proposal for a two-week ceasefire, explicitly stated to also include Lebanon, during which they would negotiate a permanent end to the war on the basis of Iran’s 10 Points. Among other things, these points include 1) maintaining strict control (joint with Oman) over Hormuz, complete with a toll; 2) the end of sanctions on Iran; 3) keeping their enriched uranium; 4) a withdrawal of US forces from the Middle East [stated by the Supreme Leadership Council but not in the 10 Points, so who knows], and 5) some plausible guarantee that Iran would never be attacked again. I’ve heard rumors that China may have prodded Iran to accept these terms.

In theory, these are relatively confident and maximalist demands. In practice, Iran has already achieved military and economic control over Hormuz and the withdrawal of many US troops and bases from the region, so at least a few of Iran’s demands are, to a greater or lesser extent, already achieved, and with little hope for an increasingly exhausted US to undo these achievements short of nukes.

A couple hours after the ceasefire, the Zionist entity began a wave of airstrikes in Lebanon, killing hundreds of civilians, as well as flying drones into Iranian airspace. This was a strange move to make even if you assume - very sensibly - that the US is completely agreement non-capable: why not agree to the ceasefire and simply pretend to negotiate for two weeks while regrouping/repairing what assets you can and then start hitting Iran again?

One theory is that the Zionists are testing to what degree Iran is actually willing to have solidarity with Lebanon and Hezbollah. While the Resistance has been relatively united since October 7th, the formation of separate peaces instead of negotiating terms as a united front has been a major exploitable weakness. Alternatively, it’s been proposed that the US didn’t even consider using the ceasefire to regroup and deceive Iran, and that Trump merely wanted a way to chicken out of his threat on Iran’s electrical grid - the fact that US officials have since stated that Iran’s 10 Points were not the same ones they agreed to is a point supporting this, I suppose. If the conflict resumes and Trump does not deliver another 48 hour deadline (and/or makes it something silly like a month from now) then this could be the explanation.

From Iran, I am getting the sense that a lot is happening behind the scenes. Statements from top officials like Araghchi have stated quite plainly that there will be no ceasefire and no negotiations unless the Zionists stop attacking Lebanon, but as of ~24 hours after the ceasefire began, there has been no significant military response from Iran yet. There have apparently been phone calls between Araghchi and numerous regional officials, but it is unknown to what end. All the while, the global economic situation continues to deteriorate. Over the next week or two, the last tankers that left Hormuz before it closed will arrive at their destinations. If the missile exchanges begin once more, then the West, much like most of the rest of the world, will be experiencing all sorts of fuel, energy, food, and product shortages while trying to justify why they broke the ceasefire to kill more Lebanese civilians.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Tervell [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    17 hours ago

    still using indigenous tribe names for their choppers, even reusing one they had already used this time around! https://archive.ph/fnfQV

    Army introduces MV-75 as Cheyenne II, won’t commit to first flight, production dates

    “It’s going to happen when it’s going to happen,” Maj. Gen. Clair Gill told reporters when asked about expected timeline milestones for the new aircraft.

    more

    The Army has officially given a new name for its MV-75 tiltrotor, calling it the Cheyenne II, though the service is closely holding additional details about the rotorcraft’s timeline, including its expected first flight.“ It’s going to happen when it’s going to happen. So we are moving as fast as we can,” Maj. Gen. Clair Gill, Program Acquisition Executive for Maneuver Air, told reporters last week. “If I was king, and I had all the money in the world and all the engineers, and there were no limits, we probably would be able to do it in a matter of months.” The Cheyenne II MV-75 is the result of Bell-Textron‘s victory in the Army’s high-profile Future Long Range Assault Aircraft competition, designed to in part replace some of the mission sets of the service’s aging Black Hawk fleet. Announcing the chopper’s new designation today, Under Secretary of the Army Mike Obadal called the MV-75 a “foundational system of this modern combined arms force.” “Its modular open design digital backbone allows us to keep pace with emerging technology through innovation in the field that closes the gap in commercial development,” he told the audience here at the Army Aviation Association of America conference. As recently as January then-Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George was bullish on the Cheyenne II’s timeline, saying it could be flying with formations by the end of this year or beginning of next. Production could begin as early as 2028, he said.

    Speaking to reporters on Friday both Gill and Brent Ingraham, the service’s acquisition czar, declined to say if they were holding onto either timeline. “I don’t want to be overly optimistic and commit to something that two years from now, I would potentially look back and say there were so many factors in there that I didn’t control and we didn’t understand till we got to that point,” Gill said. One of those prominent variables is the complexity of the program, involving about 300 tier one and almost 2,000 tier three and four suppliers. (Gill didn’t discuss numbers related to tier two.) “There are certain raw materials that help us make certain metals that we want to have in this aircraft to ensure that we don’t have any failure of components, and we’re competing with the entire world for these same raw materials. And the vendors you know, the sub-tier suppliers, […] they are trying to develop components as fast as they can. They’re looking to us for guidance,” said Gill, who is dual-hatted as the commanding general for the Army Aviation Center of Excellence. Brig. Gen. David Phillips, Gill’s deputy PAE, added that the Army has been working closely with the Air Force and Navy who fly the V-22 tiltrotor, along with industry on how to get hold of the right raw materials for the job. “We worked with industry to really use better tools to scrub all of those build materials to really see where the pinch points are. Where are we competing with commercial industry? Where are we making sure that we’re not getting materials from the wrong parts of the world?” Phillips said.

    Gill emphasized that though there are supply chain lessons the Army can take from the V-22, ultimately, there are “fundamental differences” between how the two aircraft are designed and will perform. Apart from supply chain pressure, there are also budgetary constraints that could hinder the production and prototyping timelines, Gill said. The absence of predictable funding ultimately “kills any momentum” made in moving up timelines for the Cheyenne II especially with government shut downs or continuous resolutions. Oftentimes the primes, Bell-Textron in this case, have to step up to try to keep that momentum going, he added. “Every one of [Bell’s] sub-tier suppliers cannot weather that storm every year. And so what happens is, if we have no money, and we either have to stretch the program, slow down the program, stop the program, then it puts tremendous strain on the rest of it. And that’s why I know you all want dates, because it makes a story, but that’s why I can’t give you dates, because I don’t control those variables.” Gill said. “So we need to know that this program is going to be funded every year, that we’re going to have the right appropriation coming to us.” In the president’s recent budget request, the Army saw a bump of nearly $600 million for research, test, development and engineering funds for the MV-75 compared to FY26, signaling the service is in a good position to move the program to the left.

    Though the Cheyenne II is slated to replace some of the missions of the Black Hawk, and the recent budget documents drastically cut funding for Black Hawk procurement, Ingraham said Friday that the Army is not “getting rid” of any of the existing fleet. “We are not getting rid of any of those platforms. A lot of the existing platforms will be in the fleet for years to come. We have worked to ensure that that is laid into the budget appropriately,” he said. “I think you’ll see as the full budget rolls out, you’ll see where we’re focused on, not only introducing this new aircraft, but ensuring that we maintain and keep the operational fleet we’ve got today.”