Actual
5.3200
Daily Change
0.01%
Monthly
0.52%
Yearly
1.19%
Q4 Forecast
5.2156
US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Summary

The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.33% on Monday, near its highest level since March 2022 as investors assessed fresh economic data and prepared for the release of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting minutes. The latest ISM report showed that services-sector activity continued to expand, with the PMI at 54.9 in September, slightly below August but broadly in line with expectations. At the same time, cost pressures intensified, highlighting renewed inflation risks despite the moderation in business activity. Bond markets have faced persistent selling pressure in recent weeks, although Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report pushed yields lower and reduced expectations of another near-term Fed rate increase. Attention is now turning to Wednesday’s meeting minutes for further clues on the central bank’s policy outlook. Markets currently see an approximately 82% probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its next meeting.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Stats

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 5.32% on October 6, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.52 points and is 1.19 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Historically, the US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield reached an all time high of 15.82 in September of 1981. US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on October 6 of 2026.

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield - Forecast

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 5.32% on October 6, 2026, marking a 0.01 percentage points increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.52 points and is 1.19 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. The US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield is expected to trade at 5.22 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 5.02 in 12 months time.



Bonds Yield Day Month Year Date
US 10Y 5.32 0.008% 0.523% 1.189% Oct/06
US 4W 3.94 -0.006% 0.209% -0.168% Oct/06
US 8W 4.05 0.003% 0.229% 0% Oct/05
US 3M 4.14 0.017% 0.281% 0.212% Oct/06
US 6M 4.30 0.008% 0.283% 0.485% Oct/06
US 52W 4.47 0.010% 0.351% 0.807% Oct/06
US 2Y 4.84 0.014% 0.454% 1.261% Oct/06
US 3Y 4.97 0.006% 0.503% 1.381% Oct/06
US 5Y 5.07 0.014% 0.512% 1.365% Oct/06
US 7Y 5.20 0.010% 0.526% 1.296% Oct/06
US 20Y 5.72 0.012% 0.463% 1.030% Oct/06
US 30Y 5.67 0.009% 0.420% 0.948% Oct/06
US 10Y TIPS 2.96 0.042% 0.527% 1.141% Oct/05
US 5Y TIPS 2.67 -0.001% 0.526% 1.364% Oct/05
US 30Y TIPS 3.41 0.049% 0.428% 0.887% Oct/05



Related Last Previous Unit Reference
United States Inflation Rate 3.40 3.40 percent Aug 2026
United States Fed Funds Interest Rate 4.00 3.75 percent Sep 2026
United States Unemployment Rate 4.20 4.10 percent Sep 2026

US 10 Year Treasury Note Yield
Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
5.32 5.31 15.82 0.32 1912 - 2026 percent Daily

News Stream
US 10Y Bond Yield Hits 24-1/2-year High
US 10 Year Government Bond Yield increased to 5.35%, the highest since April 2002. Over the past 4 weeks, US 10 Year Note Bond Yield gained 54.90 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it increased 119.40 basis points.
2026-10-05
US 10-Year Yield Rises Ahead Fed Minutes
The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.33% on Monday, near its highest level since March 2022 as investors assessed fresh economic data and prepared for the release of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting minutes. The latest ISM report showed that services-sector activity continued to expand, with the PMI at 54.9 in September, slightly below August but broadly in line with expectations. At the same time, cost pressures intensified, highlighting renewed inflation risks despite the moderation in business activity. Bond markets have faced persistent selling pressure in recent weeks, although Friday’s weaker-than-expected jobs report pushed yields lower and reduced expectations of another near-term Fed rate increase. Attention is now turning to Wednesday’s meeting minutes for further clues on the central bank’s policy outlook. Markets currently see an approximately 82% probability that the Fed will leave rates unchanged at its next meeting.
2026-10-05
Treasury Yields Ease as Fed Hike Bets Recede
The US 10-year Treasury yield eased to around 5.25% on Monday, while the 30-year yield slipped toward 5.6% as traders scaled back expectations for an imminent Federal Reserve rate hike following weaker-than-expected US jobs data. Data released Friday showed the US economy added just 29,000 jobs in September, well below expectations of 90,000, after August’s gain was revised down to 133,000. The unemployment rate climbed to 4.2%, while annual wage growth unexpectedly slowed to 3.0%, its weakest pace since May 2021. Markets are now pricing in nearly an 80% probability that the Fed will keep policy unchanged this month, while expectations for a December hike remained around 69%. Still, Treasury yields remained near their highest levels in more than two decades amid concerns over persistent energy-driven inflation, rising US fiscal risks and increasing debt issuance linked to artificial intelligence.
2026-10-05