Eric L.·5d agoDivided Government Not Necessarily Bad News for U.S. StocksThe U.S. midterm elections have concluded, with the Democrats riding a “blue wave” to secure majorities in both the House of…
Eric L.·Nov 1Can the US Stock Market’s Year-End Rally in a Midterm Election Year Repeat This Year?Looking at the annual cyclical performance of the S&P 500 from 1928 to 2025, the index has often begun a new upswing around the end of…
Eric L.·Oct 26KBW Bank Index Losing Streaks and S&P 500 Annual ReturnsAI companies are investing heavily in infrastructure such as data centres while ramping up debt issuance, raising concerns that this…
Eric L.·Oct 25Rethinking the 60/40 Portfolio: The Case for a 15% Gold AllocationAs bond yields have risen repeatedly in recent years, the correlation between US bond prices and the S&P 500 Index has increasingly turned…
Eric L.·Oct 19Could U.S. Inflation Return to 10% If Oil Prices Surge Again?U.S. inflation data for September, released last week, indicated that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.7% year over year, marking its…
Eric L.·Oct 18US Twin Deficits Raise Prospect of 6% Treasury YieldsPersistently elevated fiscal deficits require governments to issue substantial amounts of debt to finance public spending and refinance…
Eric L.·Oct 11Can the S&P 500 Rally Last Without Broader Participation?On Tuesday, October 6, the S&P 500 closed at 7,818.93, setting its 28th record closing high of the year. Yet strength at the index level…
Eric L.·Oct 5Top 10 Best-Performing ETFs in the First Three Quarters: Semiconductors Maintain Their LeadThe ranking identifies the ten ETFs with the highest cumulative returns over the first three quarters of this year, drawn from nearly 1,000…A response icon1A response icon1
Eric L.·Sep 28CRB Commodity Index Signals Renewed Inflation RisksFederal funds futures suggest that markets expect the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates another one to two times this year, with the…
Eric L.·Sep 26Bitcoin Flows Steady, Upside LimitedA review of Bitcoin ETF fund flows suggests that the market’s most difficult phase may have temporarily passed. Over the past three months…