The Fifth Ukraine Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment (#RDNA5) was launched this week in Kyiv. Even after years of analyzing these figures, the sheer scale is undeniably staggering. As of 31 December 2025, direct damage across Ukraine has reached $195 billion — an 11% increase over the past year. Looking ahead, recovery and reconstruction needs are estimated at $588 billion over the next decade. These figures are not abstract. They represent homes, transportation links, energy systems, and livelihoods that millions of Ukrainians depend on every day. The largest impacts are clear: · Housing: $61.1B in damage and $89.8B in recovery needs · Transport: $40.3B in damage and $96.3B in needs — now the single largest sector · Energy: $24.8B in damage and $90.6B in recovery needs · Commerce & industry: $19.2B in damage and $63.3B in needs In our #RDNA5, I see recovery evolving beyond simply replacing what was destroyed. For me, it’s about rebuilding systems that can generate growth, create jobs, and sustain long-term transformation. It can be structured around three key rebuilding pillars. The first pillar is private-sector-led recovery. Investment doesn’t happen by accident — it requires preparation, risk mitigation, and credible rules. These are not technical footnotes; they are the foundations of job creation. The second pillar is social sustainability in jobs. Recovery must translate into real opportunities for IDPs, returnees, veterans, women, and young people. Jobs don’t automatically follow reconstruction, which is why RDNA5 links housing and industrial investments directly to skills, labor demand, and workforce development. The third pillar is an area-based approach. By responding to local realities and labor markets, recovery can rebuild communities, support local firms, and restore economic life where it matters most. RDNA5 is also a reminder of what a strong partnership can achieve. This assessment reflects the leadership and ownership of the Government of Ukraine and sustained collaboration with the United Nations, the European Commission, and us, the The World Bank Bank Group. Delivering analysis of this depth during Russia’s ongoing invasion is an extraordinary achievement. Learn more: https://lnkd.in/ezQBtBug Photos: World Bank; Ukraine Ministry for Development of Communities and Territories of Ukraine; Sergii Drobysh Yulia Svyrydenko Anna Bjerde Alfonso García Mora Sergii Marchenko Oleksii Sobolev, CFA Alona Shkrum
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